Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee favorite at 49%, driven by bets on his Make America Healthy Again movement's crossover appeal and his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" run, despite diverging from GOP straw polls where Vice President J.D. Vance leads—such as his recent CPAC win—but shows slippage in New Hampshire surveys. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects a poll surge after reports of President Trump privately asking big donors to choose between Rubio and Vance, with most favoring Rubio. Midterm results and 2027 primary declarations loom as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 20.5%
Tucker Carlson 5.0%
Ron DeSantis 2.8%
$490,458,169 Vol.
$490,458,169 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
37%
Marco Rubio
21%
Tucker Carlson
5%
Ron DeSantis
3%
Glenn Youngkin
2%
Donald Trump
2%
Thomas Massie
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
2%
Rand Paul
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
1%
Ivanka Trump
1%
Ted Cruz
1%
Elon Musk
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%
Nikki Haley
1%
Greg Abbott
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%
Brian Kemp
1%
Matt Gaetz
1%
Eric Trump
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Kristi Noem
1%
Joe Kent
1%
Kim Kardashian
1%
Pete Hegseth
1%
Byron Donalds
1%
Elise Stefanik
1%
Josh Hawley
1%
John Thune
1%
Tom Brady
1%
Steve Bannon
1%
Erika Kirk
1%
Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 36.6%
Marco Rubio 20.5%
Tucker Carlson 5.0%
Ron DeSantis 2.8%
$490,458,169 Vol.
$490,458,169 Vol.
Nov 7, 2028
Earn 4%
J.D. Vance
$6,870,883 Vol.
37%
Marco Rubio
$6,619,737 Vol.
21%
Tucker Carlson
$7,262,283 Vol.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$7,960,397 Vol.
3%
Glenn Youngkin
$5,604,998 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$6,328,213 Vol.
2%
Thomas Massie
$2,739,099 Vol.
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
$5,875,755 Vol.
2%
Rand Paul
$15,986,642 Vol.
1%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$12,349,978 Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$5,283,832 Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$14,022,201 Vol.
1%
Elon Musk
$21,708,762 Vol.
1%
Tulsi Gabbard
$9,164,602 Vol.
1%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$3,940,782 Vol.
1%
Nikki Haley
$7,140,365 Vol.
1%
Greg Abbott
$17,201,932 Vol.
1%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$10,945,215 Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp
$12,898,669 Vol.
1%
Matt Gaetz
$15,184,331 Vol.
1%
Eric Trump
$4,101,066 Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$27,958,777 Vol.
1%
Katie Britt
$24,298,722 Vol.
1%
Kristi Noem
$27,978,244 Vol.
1%
Joe Kent
$1,749,736 Vol.
1%
Kim Kardashian
$23,347,407 Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$1,599,568 Vol.
1%
Byron Donalds
$33,077,177 Vol.
1%
Elise Stefanik
$21,259,766 Vol.
1%
Josh Hawley
$15,622,278 Vol.
1%
John Thune
$28,742,106 Vol.
1%
Tom Brady
$27,929,095 Vol.
1%
Steve Bannon
$14,684,562 Vol.
1%
Erika Kirk
$10,630,037 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence
$32,413,328 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee favorite at 49%, driven by bets on his Make America Healthy Again movement's crossover appeal and his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" run, despite diverging from GOP straw polls where Vice President J.D. Vance leads—such as his recent CPAC win—but shows slippage in New Hampshire surveys. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects a poll surge after reports of President Trump privately asking big donors to choose between Rubio and Vance, with most favoring Rubio. Midterm results and 2027 primary declarations loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Volume
$490,458,169End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee favorite at 49%, driven by bets on his Make America Healthy Again movement's crossover appeal and his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" run, despite diverging from GOP straw polls where Vice President J.D. Vance leads—such as his recent CPAC win—but shows slippage in New Hampshire surveys. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects a poll surge after reports of President Trump privately asking big donors to choose between Rubio and Vance, with most favoring Rubio. Midterm results and 2027 primary declarations loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$490,458,169End Date
Nov 7, 2028Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the narrow 2028 Republican presidential nominee favorite at 49%, driven by bets on his Make America Healthy Again movement's crossover appeal and his cousin Jack Schlossberg's March 7 statement confirming a "definite" run, despite diverging from GOP straw polls where Vice President J.D. Vance leads—such as his recent CPAC win—but shows slippage in New Hampshire surveys. Secretary of State Marco Rubio's 20.5% reflects a poll surge after reports of President Trump privately asking big donors to choose between Rubio and Vance, with most favoring Rubio. Midterm results and 2027 primary declarations loom as key catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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