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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,049,934 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,049,934 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$19,062,033 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,430,448 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,489,013 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,147,208 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,777,175 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,229,359 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,731,434 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,710,276 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,940,950 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,956,430 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,860,005 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,966,043 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,622,827 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,458,692 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,133,638 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,767,697 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,864,824 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,627,796 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,112,259 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,315,405 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,009,702 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,234,551 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,770,593 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,344,007 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,902,879 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,581,142 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,862,528 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,417,057 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,510,718 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,657,443 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,325,478 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,381,517 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,025,428 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,064,651 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,761,575 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,280,217 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,189,248 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,755,681 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,393,627 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,498,807 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,156,372 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,303,406 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,881,923 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,543,408 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after surging in recent polls, including a March California primary survey where he trounced Kamala Harris and a late-March New Hampshire poll tying him for second, reinforced by a fresh insider assessment naming him the party's best-positioned leader against Trump's second term. Jon Ossoff gained traction from a viral February Senate speech blasting Trump, underscoring his swing-state appeal as a young Georgia senator, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive enthusiasm amid her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. In this wide-open post-2024 field lacking an incumbent, 2026 midterm results, national fundraising, key endorsements, and early primary state polling could consolidate the fragmented support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,049,934
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus as the early frontrunner for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination after surging in recent polls, including a March California primary survey where he trounced Kamala Harris and a late-March New Hampshire poll tying him for second, reinforced by a fresh insider assessment naming him the party's best-positioned leader against Trump's second term. Jon Ossoff gained traction from a viral February Senate speech blasting Trump, underscoring his swing-state appeal as a young Georgia senator, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez draws progressive enthusiasm amid her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. In this wide-open post-2024 field lacking an incumbent, 2026 midterm results, national fundraising, key endorsements, and early primary state polling could consolidate the fragmented support.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,049,934
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $982 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.