Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,057,314 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$982,057,314 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$19,066,795 Vol.

24%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$7,431,048 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,489,013 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$9,147,208 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,777,180 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$6,229,359 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$15,732,210 Vol.

3%

Market icon

James Talarico

$5,710,276 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$12,942,493 Vol.

2%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$12,956,430 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$7,861,223 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$11,966,043 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$5,623,555 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,458,698 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$22,133,638 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,767,697 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,864,824 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,627,796 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$18,112,259 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,315,405 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$44,010,084 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,234,551 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$33,770,593 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,344,007 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,902,879 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,581,142 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$25,862,528 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$26,417,199 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$26,510,718 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,657,546 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$37,326,128 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$33,381,517 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$43,025,428 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$39,064,651 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,761,575 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$38,280,217 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$28,189,248 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$33,755,681 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$20,393,725 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$34,498,895 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$24,156,372 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$40,303,406 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$32,881,923 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$32,543,408 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in a hypothetical California primary and tying for second in New Hampshire preferences, underscoring his executive experience and national profile from prior Trump debates. Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 9% gains from a viral anti-Trump speech in February that boosted betting odds, highlighting his swing-state appeal, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive support amid her recent pledge against Israel aid funding. The wide-open field reflects post-2024 uncertainty, with 2026 midterms, early fundraising, and endorsements poised to consolidate support behind governors or battleground senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,057,314
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in a hypothetical California primary and tying for second in New Hampshire preferences, underscoring his executive experience and national profile from prior Trump debates. Georgia Senator Jon Ossoff at 9% gains from a viral anti-Trump speech in February that boosted betting odds, highlighting his swing-state appeal, while Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive support amid her recent pledge against Israel aid funding. The wide-open field reflects post-2024 uncertainty, with 2026 midterms, early fundraising, and endorsements poised to consolidate support behind governors or battleground senators.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$982,057,314
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $982.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.