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Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Market icon
Politics·Global Elections

La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)

Luis Antonio Revilla 47.1%

René Yahuasi Calamani 34.7%

Fidel Chura 12.7%

Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%

Polymarket

$15,653 Vol.

Luis Antonio Revilla 47.1%

René Yahuasi Calamani 34.7%

Fidel Chura 12.7%

Richard Andrés Gómez 9.3%

Polymarket

$15,653 Vol.

Luis Antonio Revilla

$8,208 Vol.

47%

René Yahuasi Calamani

$3,150 Vol.

35%

Fidel Chura

$0 Vol.

13%

Richard Andrés Gómez

$0 Vol.

9%

Santos Quispe Quispe

$0 Vol.

9%

Felix Patzi

$0 Vol.

5%

Augusto Saturnino Oblitas

$0 Vol.

4%

Germán Riveros

$1,122 Vol.

8%

Rafael Quispe Flores

$0 Vol.

3%

Demetrio Villca

$0 Vol.

1%

Orlando Callisaya

$1,392 Vol.

<1%

Gualberto Cusi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ingvar Ellefsen Dotzauer

$1,781 Vol.

12%

Clemente Gutiérrez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Leopoldo Richar Chui

$0 Vol.

<1%

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 47% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election on November 17, driven by recent polls showing his consistent double-digit lead over MAS party candidate René Yahuasi Calamani (34.7%). Late October surveys from firms like Ciesmori and others confirm Revilla's edge, fueled by his strong urban support as former La Paz mayor and capitalizing on ruling MAS divisions between Arce and Morales factions that fragment the opposition vote among candidates like Fidel Chura and Santos Quispe Quispe. With campaigning intensifying, no major shifts in the past week, but final debates and turnout in battleground areas could narrow the gap before first-past-the-post voting resolves the market.

The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).
Volume
$15,653
End Date
Mar 22, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 20, 2026, 11:14 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The La Paz gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Bolivia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian electoral authority, the Tribunal Supremo Electoral (TSE) (https://www.oep.org.bo).Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 47% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election on November 17, driven by recent polls showing his consistent double-digit lead over MAS party candidate René Yahuasi Calamani (34.7%). Late October surveys from firms like Ciesmori and others confirm Revilla's edge, fueled by his strong urban support as former La Paz mayor and capitalizing on ruling MAS divisions between Arce and Morales factions that fragment the opposition vote among candidates like Fidel Chura and Santos Quispe Quispe. With campaigning intensifying, no major shifts in the past week, but final debates and turnout in battleground areas could narrow the gap before first-past-the-post voting resolves the market.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Luis Antonio Revilla at 47% implied probability to win Bolivia's La Paz gubernatorial election on November 17, driven by recent polls showing his consistent double-digit lead over MAS party candidate René Yahuasi Calamani (34.7%). Late October surveys from firms like Ciesmori and others confirm Revilla's edge, fueled by his strong urban support as former La Paz mayor and capitalizing on ruling MAS divisions between Arce and Morales factions that fragment the opposition vote among candidates like Fidel Chura and Santos Quispe Quispe. With campaigning intensifying, no major shifts in the past week, but final debates and turnout in battleground areas could narrow the gap before first-past-the-post voting resolves the market.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 47%, followed by "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" has generated $15.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" is "Luis Antonio Revilla" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "René Yahuasi Calamani" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "La Paz Governor Election Winner (Bolivia)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.