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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,239,061 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Jon Ossoff 8.8%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Kamala Harris 4.2%

Polymarket

$981,239,061 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$18,968,878 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,428,625 Vol.

9%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,361,982 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,143,898 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,771,418 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,225,582 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,465,936 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,703,632 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,862,126 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,951,930 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,854,228 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,965,797 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,567,987 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,453,833 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,131,110 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,765,086 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,860,557 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,621,607 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,108,835 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,312,782 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,003,221 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,225,207 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,763,169 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,340,086 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,900,751 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,578,002 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,852,386 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,412,061 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,505,997 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,650,686 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,322,479 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,374,533 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,021,760 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,061,772 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,756,393 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,275,333 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,183,869 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,750,552 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,391,274 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,491,818 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,152,190 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,299,651 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,877,637 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,540,237 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.2% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination amid a wide-open primary field, propelled by his 28%-14% dominance over Kamala Harris in a March 2026 POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll of California Democratic primary voters—a delegate-rich state signaling fundraising strength—and book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. Jon Ossoff at 9% benefits from strong Georgia Senate re-election polling near 50%, positioning him as a youthful moderate from a battleground. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive support via her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. Consolidation could follow robust 2026 midterm showings by governors and senators, alongside early fundraising and party debates on post-Trump direction.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,239,061
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.2% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination amid a wide-open primary field, propelled by his 28%-14% dominance over Kamala Harris in a March 2026 POLITICO/UC Berkeley poll of California Democratic primary voters—a delegate-rich state signaling fundraising strength—and book tours in early primary states like New Hampshire. Jon Ossoff at 9% benefits from strong Georgia Senate re-election polling near 50%, positioning him as a youthful moderate from a battleground. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8% draws progressive support via her recent pledge opposing all U.S. military aid to Israel. Consolidation could follow robust 2026 midterm showings by governors and senators, alongside early fundraising and party debates on post-Trump direction.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,239,061
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $981.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.