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Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Market icon
Politics·Midterms

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 22%

Treg Taylor 16.2%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 12%

Polymarket

$738,527 Vol.

Tom Begich 25%

Bernadette Wilson 22%

Treg Taylor 16.2%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 12%

Polymarket

$738,527 Vol.

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Tom Begich

$95,106 Vol.

25%

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Bernadette Wilson

$129,987 Vol.

22%

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Treg Taylor

$2,819 Vol.

16%

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Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$460 Vol.

12%

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Nancy Dahlstrom

$98,101 Vol.

11%

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Click Bishop

$2,424 Vol.

5%

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David Bronson

$2,197 Vol.

3%

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Mary Peltola

$319,919 Vol.

3%

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Bruce Walden

$139 Vol.

3%

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Matt Heilala

$23,816 Vol.

2%

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Lisa Murkowski

$2,417 Vol.

1%

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Shelley Hughes

$2,908 Vol.

1%

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Edna DeVries

$2,593 Vol.

1%

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Adam Crum

$31,706 Vol.

1%

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Hank Kroll

$280 Vol.

<1%

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Matt Claman

$133 Vol.

<1%

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James Parkin

$23,531 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 24.5% implied probability in Alaska's open gubernatorial race, buoyed by recent polls like Alaska Survey Research showing him at 41% in the nonpartisan top-four primary field ahead of Aug. 18—reflecting his edge as the leading Democratic contender amid a fragmented Republican slate. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.2%) trail closely, sustained by six-figure early fundraising hauls reported Feb. 18, including Taylor's $880,000 and Wilson's competitive totals, which signal viability despite no dominant GOP frontrunner. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%) and others split support further. Recent candidate forums underscore the tight dynamics; endorsements, fresh polls, or self-funding surges could propel separation before ranked-choice voting resolves the Nov. 3 general.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$738,527
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Former state Sen. Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 24.5% implied probability in Alaska's open gubernatorial race, buoyed by recent polls like Alaska Survey Research showing him at 41% in the nonpartisan top-four primary field ahead of Aug. 18—reflecting his edge as the leading Democratic contender amid a fragmented Republican slate. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (21.5%) and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (16.2%) trail closely, sustained by six-figure early fundraising hauls reported Feb. 18, including Taylor's $880,000 and Wilson's competitive totals, which signal viability despite no dominant GOP frontrunner. Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11.4%) and others split support further. Recent candidate forums underscore the tight dynamics; endorsements, fresh polls, or self-funding surges could propel separation before ranked-choice voting resolves the Nov. 3 general.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volume
$738,527
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Alaska Governor Election Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tom Begich" at 25%, followed by "Bernadette Wilson" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Alaska Governor Election Winner " has generated $738.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Alaska Governor Election Winner ," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " is "Tom Begich" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bernadette Wilson" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Alaska Governor Election Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.