Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

98%

April 7

$107K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

13%

Lebanese Forces (LF)

$224K Vol.

$75.1K Liq.

12

Ends in about 2 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

26%

$57.9K Vol.

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

14%

$46 Vol.

$750 Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

86%

April 6

$104K Vol.

$28.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

49%

$173K Vol.

$12.9K Liq.

23

Ends in 3 months

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

March 18

+ 14 more

$198K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

6%

April 30

$102K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by April 30?

6%

$7.6K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

40%

December 31

$925K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

97%

April 3

$126K Vol.

$49.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

40%

June 30

$447K Vol.

$35.3K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

49%

3

$37.4K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

42%

June 30, 2026

$424K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

20

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

Iran military action against ___ by March 31?

91%

UAE

$5M Vol.

$786K today

$4M Liq.

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

90%

UAE

$494K Vol.

$206K today

$181K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

26%

Kuwait

$365K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

17%

Venezuela

$131K Vol.

$80.9K Liq.

11

Ends in 3 months

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

Will Vance visit the Middle East by..?

3%

April 10

$150K Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

22%

April 30

$54.4K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

18

Ends in 24 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lebanon.

Polymarket currently hosts 122 active markets for Lebanon that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel military action against Lebanon on...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran military action against ___ by March 31?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Israel. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lebanon predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.