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Iran Offensive Strikes predictions & odds

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US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

73%

December 31

$87M Vol.

$9M today

$2M Liq.

1,823

Ends in 8 months

Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

37%

May 31

$10M Vol.

$2M today

$187K Liq.

603

Ends in 23 days

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

22%

$26M Vol.

$1M today

$541K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

71%

June 30

$33M Vol.

$523K today

$189K Liq.

6

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

40%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$304K today

$184K Liq.

108

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

16%

$347K Vol.

$175K today

$19.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 23 days

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

61%

Pakistan

$4M Vol.

$129K today

$362K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

31%

December 31

$13M Vol.

$125K today

$237K Liq.

1,073

Ends in 8 months

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

17%

June 30

$754K Vol.

$115K today

$81.1K Liq.

13

Ends in 23 days

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

Next US x Iran diplomatic meeting on...?

95%

No Meeting before May 11

$2M Vol.

$104K today

$81.1K Liq.

34

Ends in 2 days

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

16%

$374K Vol.

$89.4K today

$30.7K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

12%

December 31

$18M Vol.

$66.6K today

$339K Liq.

374

Ends in about 2 months

Iran leader end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

67%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$7M Vol.

$60.8K today

$2M Liq.

102

Ends in 8 months

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

18%

$358K Vol.

$57.7K today

$29.4K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

30%

$2M Vol.

$53.9K today

$65.2K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$50.7K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

15%

$348K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

37%

$799K Vol.

$34.6K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

9%

$737K Vol.

$37.7K Liq.

23

Ends in about 2 months

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

7%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$56.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 155 active markets for Iran Offensive Strikes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $221.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 73% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iran Offensive Strikes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.