Iran Offensive Strikes predictions & odds

·
Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

Iran military action against ___ by April 30?

100%

Iraq

$3M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

Which countries will conduct military action against Iran by April 30?

8%

UAE

$3M Vol.

$284K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

8%

April 30

$780K Vol.

$95.2K Liq.

84

Ends in 15 days

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

98%

April 6

$208K Vol.

$17.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

What will Iran conduct military action against by April 30?

24%

Ruwais Refinery

$462K Vol.

$110K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

How many ships will Iran successfully target by April 30?

54%

2–3

$60.5K Vol.

$47.6K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?

3%

$84.0K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 15 days

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

22%

April 30

$167K Vol.

$18.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by...?

13%

April 30

$50.8K Vol.

$13.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?

85%

June 30

$25M Vol.

$3M today

$565K Liq.

604

Ends in 3 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

15%

May 31

$726K Vol.

$41.6K Liq.

41

Ends in about 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

$10M Vol.

$521K today

$520K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Israel military action against Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iran by...?

16%

April 21

$1M Vol.

$242K today

$57.6K Liq.

43

Ends in 6 days

Military action against Iran ends by...?

Military action against Iran ends by...?

100%

April 17

$24M Vol.

$7M today

$6M Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

Will another country conduct military action against Iran by...?

8%

April 30

$1M Vol.

$76.3K Liq.

190

Ends in 15 days

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

US announces military support of Iran opposition by...?

4%

April 30

$450K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

96

Ends in 15 days

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

92%

$538K Vol.

$58.9K Liq.

59

Ends in 3 months

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

4%

$723K Vol.

$81.9K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

65%

April 21

$818K Vol.

$181K today

$351K Liq.

12

Ends in 6 days

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

Who will meet with Iran by April 30?

89%

Steve Witkoff

$474 Vol.

$24.1K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Iran Offensive Strikes.

Polymarket currently hosts 109 active markets for Iran Offensive Strikes that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran military action against ___ by April 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $71.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 85% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Iran Offensive Strikes predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.