Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, despite Republican-favoring redistricting that shifted the partisan lean to R+4 and earned a Likely Republican rating from Cook Political Report. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats pitting Maureen Galindo (29%) against Johnny Garcia (27%), and Republicans John Lujan (33%, Abbott-endorsed state representative) versus Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran)—highlighting fragmented fields with no dominant nominee. Strong Democratic registration in Bexar County suburbs, potential midterm headwinds for the GOP majority, and historical turnout patterns among Hispanic voters sustain the closely contested odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
59%
共和党
40%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$1,176 Vol.
59%
共和党
$0 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, despite Republican-favoring redistricting that shifted the partisan lean to R+4 and earned a Likely Republican rating from Cook Political Report. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats pitting Maureen Galindo (29%) against Johnny Garcia (27%), and Republicans John Lujan (33%, Abbott-endorsed state representative) versus Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran)—highlighting fragmented fields with no dominant nominee. Strong Democratic registration in Bexar County suburbs, potential midterm headwinds for the GOP majority, and historical turnout patterns among Hispanic voters sustain the closely contested odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$1,176終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, despite Republican-favoring redistricting that shifted the partisan lean to R+4 and earned a Likely Republican rating from Cook Political Report. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats pitting Maureen Galindo (29%) against Johnny Garcia (27%), and Republicans John Lujan (33%, Abbott-endorsed state representative) versus Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran)—highlighting fragmented fields with no dominant nominee. Strong Democratic registration in Bexar County suburbs, potential midterm headwinds for the GOP majority, and historical turnout patterns among Hispanic voters sustain the closely contested odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,176終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Democratic Party at 59.5% to win Texas's 35th Congressional District House seat, despite Republican-favoring redistricting that shifted the partisan lean to R+4 and earned a Likely Republican rating from Cook Political Report. The March 3 primaries sent both parties to May 26 runoffs—Democrats pitting Maureen Galindo (29%) against Johnny Garcia (27%), and Republicans John Lujan (33%, Abbott-endorsed state representative) versus Carlos De La Cruz (27%, Trump-endorsed Air Force veteran)—highlighting fragmented fields with no dominant nominee. Strong Democratic registration in Bexar County suburbs, potential midterm headwinds for the GOP majority, and historical turnout patterns among Hispanic voters sustain the closely contested odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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