Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for California's 38th Congressional District House seat due to the district's solid Democratic lean, evidenced by 2024 results where Rep. Linda Sánchez won 60%-40% before shifting to a new district under 2025 redistricting. The open race features a crowded Democratic primary field including Hilda Solis, who secured early California Democratic Party endorsement, against just one Republican filer, Pedro Casas, as of late March filings. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, historical partisan voting patterns and weak GOP opposition underpin the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic scandals, or an unforeseen GOP surge securing the second general election spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$30,119 Vol.
$30,119 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,001 Vol.
94%
共和党
$19,118 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for California's 38th Congressional District House seat due to the district's solid Democratic lean, evidenced by 2024 results where Rep. Linda Sánchez won 60%-40% before shifting to a new district under 2025 redistricting. The open race features a crowded Democratic primary field including Hilda Solis, who secured early California Democratic Party endorsement, against just one Republican filer, Pedro Casas, as of late March filings. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, historical partisan voting patterns and weak GOP opposition underpin the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic scandals, or an unforeseen GOP surge securing the second general election spot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$30,119終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for California's 38th Congressional District House seat due to the district's solid Democratic lean, evidenced by 2024 results where Rep. Linda Sánchez won 60%-40% before shifting to a new district under 2025 redistricting. The open race features a crowded Democratic primary field including Hilda Solis, who secured early California Democratic Party endorsement, against just one Republican filer, Pedro Casas, as of late March filings. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, historical partisan voting patterns and weak GOP opposition underpin the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic scandals, or an unforeseen GOP surge securing the second general election spot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$30,119終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 93.5% for California's 38th Congressional District House seat due to the district's solid Democratic lean, evidenced by 2024 results where Rep. Linda Sánchez won 60%-40% before shifting to a new district under 2025 redistricting. The open race features a crowded Democratic primary field including Hilda Solis, who secured early California Democratic Party endorsement, against just one Republican filer, Pedro Casas, as of late March filings. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, historical partisan voting patterns and weak GOP opposition underpin the lopsided odds. Upsets could arise from a national Republican midterm wave, Democratic scandals, or an unforeseen GOP surge securing the second general election spot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問