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選挙·グローバル選挙

Next Premier of Quebec

icon for Next Premier of Quebec
選挙·グローバル選挙

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 61%

Charles Milliard 25%

Christine Fréchette 11.1%

Bernard Drainville 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,145 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 61%

Charles Milliard 25%

Christine Fréchette 11.1%

Bernard Drainville 4.3%

Polymarket

$44,145 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$6,752 Vol.

61%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$3,076 Vol.

25%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$3,880 Vol.

17%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$16,743 Vol.

4%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$3,821 Vol.

2%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$7,055 Vol.

1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$2,818 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus in the next Quebec premier market due to the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The PQ has secured multiple byelection victories under his leadership since 2020 and maintains a consistent edge over other parties in recent surveys. Christine Fréchette assumed leadership of the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec in April 2026 following François Legault's departure, positioning her as the main alternative in a fragmented field. Charles Milliard heads the Quebec Liberal Party, which has shown renewed competitiveness in some polls, while smaller-party leaders including Sol Zanetti and Éric Duhaime trail further behind. The market's implied probabilities align with the current distribution of voter intentions across the main provincial parties.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$44,145
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader consensus in the next Quebec premier market due to the Parti Québécois's sustained polling advantage ahead of the October 5, 2026, general election. The PQ has secured multiple byelection victories under his leadership since 2020 and maintains a consistent edge over other parties in recent surveys. Christine Fréchette assumed leadership of the incumbent Coalition Avenir Québec in April 2026 following François Legault's departure, positioning her as the main alternative in a fragmented field. Charles Milliard heads the Quebec Liberal Party, which has shown renewed competitiveness in some polls, while smaller-party leaders including Sol Zanetti and Éric Duhaime trail further behind. The market's implied probabilities align with the current distribution of voter intentions across the main provincial parties.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$44,145
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「Next Premier of Quebec」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Paul St-Pierre Plamondon」で61%、次いで「Charles Milliard」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、61¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に61%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Next Premier of Quebec」は$44.1Kの総取引量を生み出しています（May 1, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Next Premier of Quebec」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Next Premier of Quebec」の現在のフロントランナーは「Paul St-Pierre Plamondon」で61%であり、市場がこの結果に61%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Charles Milliard」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Next Premier of Quebec」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。