Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, advancing to a November rematch against Republican Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and Hoyle's prior general-election margin near eight points. Limited expected national Republican investment in the challenge has reinforced trader consensus around an 88 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee, with few scheduled events before the November 3 general election likely to shift the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$10,704 Vol.
$10,704 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
89%
共和党
8%
$10,704 Vol.
$10,704 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,149 Vol.
89%
共和党
$1,556 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, advancing to a November rematch against Republican Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and Hoyle's prior general-election margin near eight points. Limited expected national Republican investment in the challenge has reinforced trader consensus around an 88 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee, with few scheduled events before the November 3 general election likely to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$10,704終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, advancing to a November rematch against Republican Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and Hoyle's prior general-election margin near eight points. Limited expected national Republican investment in the challenge has reinforced trader consensus around an 88 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee, with few scheduled events before the November 3 general election likely to shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$10,704終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Val Hoyle secured her party's nomination in the May 19, 2026 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote, advancing to a November rematch against Republican Monique DeSpain in Oregon's 4th Congressional District. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting a Partisan Voter Index of D+6 and Hoyle's prior general-election margin near eight points. Limited expected national Republican investment in the challenge has reinforced trader consensus around an 88 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee, with few scheduled events before the November 3 general election likely to shift the balance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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