The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solid or safe for the party. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who won the open seat in 2024, benefits from name recognition and the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further strengthened Democratic margins across several California districts, including this one. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching and the general election set for November 3, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because historical turnout data and the absence of competitive Republican challengers leave few realistic paths for an upset. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
7%
$76,170 Vol.
$76,170 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$48,949 Vol.
93%
共和党
$27,220 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solid or safe for the party. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who won the open seat in 2024, benefits from name recognition and the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further strengthened Democratic margins across several California districts, including this one. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching and the general election set for November 3, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because historical turnout data and the absence of competitive Republican challengers leave few realistic paths for an upset. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$76,170終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solid or safe for the party. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who won the open seat in 2024, benefits from name recognition and the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further strengthened Democratic margins across several California districts, including this one. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching and the general election set for November 3, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because historical turnout data and the absence of competitive Republican challengers leave few realistic paths for an upset. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$76,170終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Silicon Valley-based California 16th congressional district carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in nonpartisan ratings that classify the seat as solid or safe for the party. Incumbent Representative Sam Liccardo, who won the open seat in 2024, benefits from name recognition and the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent cycles. Recent redistricting under Proposition 50 further strengthened Democratic margins across several California districts, including this one. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching and the general election set for November 3, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a commanding lead because historical turnout data and the absence of competitive Republican challengers leave few realistic paths for an upset. A late surge by an unusually strong GOP candidate or an unforeseen primary upset could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events based on current indicators.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問