Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood commands a dominant 91% trader consensus in the IL-14 House race, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in this Democratic-leaning suburban district spanning Chicago exurbs and Aurora. Underwood, who flipped the seat in 2018 and won reelection by 5-10 points in 2020 and 2022, benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and focus on healthcare and infrastructure priorities amid stable voter sentiment. Recent polls, including a late October survey showing her ahead 53-37 over Republican Jerry Evans, underscore minimal momentum shifts despite national GOP efforts. With early voting underway, the November 5 election favors continuity, though a Republican upset could stem from unexpectedly high GOP turnout, Democratic scandals, or faithless mail-in ballot issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 Vol.
91%
共和党
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood commands a dominant 91% trader consensus in the IL-14 House race, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in this Democratic-leaning suburban district spanning Chicago exurbs and Aurora. Underwood, who flipped the seat in 2018 and won reelection by 5-10 points in 2020 and 2022, benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and focus on healthcare and infrastructure priorities amid stable voter sentiment. Recent polls, including a late October survey showing her ahead 53-37 over Republican Jerry Evans, underscore minimal momentum shifts despite national GOP efforts. With early voting underway, the November 5 election favors continuity, though a Republican upset could stem from unexpectedly high GOP turnout, Democratic scandals, or faithless mail-in ballot issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood commands a dominant 91% trader consensus in the IL-14 House race, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in this Democratic-leaning suburban district spanning Chicago exurbs and Aurora. Underwood, who flipped the seat in 2018 and won reelection by 5-10 points in 2020 and 2022, benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and focus on healthcare and infrastructure priorities amid stable voter sentiment. Recent polls, including a late October survey showing her ahead 53-37 over Republican Jerry Evans, underscore minimal momentum shifts despite national GOP efforts. With early voting underway, the November 5 election favors continuity, though a Republican upset could stem from unexpectedly high GOP turnout, Democratic scandals, or faithless mail-in ballot issues.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$0終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood commands a dominant 91% trader consensus in the IL-14 House race, reflecting her consistent double-digit polling leads in this Democratic-leaning suburban district spanning Chicago exurbs and Aurora. Underwood, who flipped the seat in 2018 and won reelection by 5-10 points in 2020 and 2022, benefits from strong fundraising, high name recognition, and focus on healthcare and infrastructure priorities amid stable voter sentiment. Recent polls, including a late October survey showing her ahead 53-37 over Republican Jerry Evans, underscore minimal momentum shifts despite national GOP efforts. With early voting underway, the November 5 election favors continuity, though a Republican upset could stem from unexpectedly high GOP turnout, Democratic scandals, or faithless mail-in ballot issues.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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