Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Underwood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican James Marter secured his party's nomination. The seat's suburban and exurban composition has favored Democrats since Underwood flipped it in 2018, with no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics altering that baseline ahead of the November 2026 general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local setbacks for the incumbent to overcome these structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党
96%
共和党
2%
民主党
96%
共和党
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race, reflecting the district's D+3 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Underwood advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican James Marter secured his party's nomination. The seat's suburban and exurban composition has favored Democrats since Underwood flipped it in 2018, with no major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or candidate dynamics altering that baseline ahead of the November 2026 general election. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local setbacks for the incumbent to overcome these structural factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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