**Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's uncontested victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative seat with a strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits based on historical voting patterns.** Kelly, seeking re-election after commanding large margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, a University of Mississippi law professor who won a low-turnout primary. With no polling or major developments since the primaries—including no scandals, fundraising surges, or national midterm wave signals—traders price in incumbency advantages and district demographics. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, Kelly's withdrawal, health issues, or an unexpected Democratic surge in early voting leading to the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$99,461 Vol.
$99,461 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
96%
民主党
5%
$99,461 Vol.
$99,461 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$76,647 Vol.
96%
民主党
$22,814 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's uncontested victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative seat with a strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits based on historical voting patterns.** Kelly, seeking re-election after commanding large margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, a University of Mississippi law professor who won a low-turnout primary. With no polling or major developments since the primaries—including no scandals, fundraising surges, or national midterm wave signals—traders price in incumbency advantages and district demographics. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, Kelly's withdrawal, health issues, or an unexpected Democratic surge in early voting leading to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$99,461終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's uncontested victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative seat with a strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits based on historical voting patterns.** Kelly, seeking re-election after commanding large margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, a University of Mississippi law professor who won a low-turnout primary. With no polling or major developments since the primaries—including no scandals, fundraising surges, or national midterm wave signals—traders price in incumbency advantages and district demographics. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, Kelly's withdrawal, health issues, or an unexpected Democratic surge in early voting leading to the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$99,461終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's uncontested victory in the March 10, 2026, Republican primary has solidified trader consensus at 95.5% for a GOP hold in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a reliably conservative seat with a strong partisan lean favoring Republicans by double digits based on historical voting patterns.** Kelly, seeking re-election after commanding large margins in prior cycles, faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson, a University of Mississippi law professor who won a low-turnout primary. With no polling or major developments since the primaries—including no scandals, fundraising surges, or national midterm wave signals—traders price in incumbency advantages and district demographics. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, Kelly's withdrawal, health issues, or an unexpected Democratic surge in early voting leading to the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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