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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$16m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
13%
$9m Vol.
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
January 31
10%
March 31
33%
$1m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
42%
$7m Vol.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
27%
$30k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31?
5%
$127k Vol.
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
25%
$179k Vol.
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
31%
$51k Vol.
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
26%
$291k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
19%
$153k Vol.
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
37%
$62k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
40%
$78k Vol.
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
1%
14%
$121k Vol.
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
June 30
December 31
$55k Vol.
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
29%
$27k Vol.
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
32%
$39k Vol.
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31?
9%
$20k Vol.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
$29k Vol.
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
22%
$5k Vol.
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$4k Vol.
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