Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?
$70,396 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jun 18, 2025, 7:22 PM UTC
Volume
$70,396End Date
Jun 20, 2025Created At
Jun 18, 2025, 7:22 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$70,396 Vol.
Will Trump announce military actions against Iran by Friday?
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 20, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$70,396End Date
Jun 20, 2025Created At
Jun 18, 2025, 7:22 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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