Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

Market icon

Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

$106,338 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$106,338
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 30, 2024, 7:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$106,338 Vol.

Market icon

Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

<1% chance

About

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$106,338
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Created At
Dec 30, 2024, 7:06 PM UTC

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.