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Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

Market icon

Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$106,338 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$106,338 Vol.

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$106,338
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 30, 2024, 2:06 PM ET
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$106,338
End Date
Jan 31, 2025
Market Opened
Dec 30, 2024, 2:06 PM ET
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan visits Syria between December 30 and January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Erdogan physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Syria. Whether or not Erdogan enters Syrian airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Erdogan or Turkey, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?" has generated $106.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 30, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Erdogan visit Syria by January?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.