Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the WI-02 House race due to the district’s deep Democratic tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 anchored in Madison and surrounding areas. The incumbent secured renomination in the August primary and faces no Republican opponent after the filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, a rare outcome that has prompted all major forecasters to rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan’s consistent prior margins exceeding 40 points, drives trader consensus toward near-certainty. The primary remaining uncertainties involve potential write-in or independent candidacies and any unforeseen developments before the November general election that could alter ballot access or voter turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,544 Vol.
$102,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,544 Vol.
$102,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,437 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the WI-02 House race due to the district’s deep Democratic tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 anchored in Madison and surrounding areas. The incumbent secured renomination in the August primary and faces no Republican opponent after the filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, a rare outcome that has prompted all major forecasters to rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan’s consistent prior margins exceeding 40 points, drives trader consensus toward near-certainty. The primary remaining uncertainties involve potential write-in or independent candidacies and any unforeseen developments before the November general election that could alter ballot access or voter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the WI-02 House race due to the district’s deep Democratic tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 anchored in Madison and surrounding areas. The incumbent secured renomination in the August primary and faces no Republican opponent after the filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, a rare outcome that has prompted all major forecasters to rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan’s consistent prior margins exceeding 40 points, drives trader consensus toward near-certainty. The primary remaining uncertainties involve potential write-in or independent candidacies and any unforeseen developments before the November general election that could alter ballot access or voter turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Pocan holds a commanding position in the WI-02 House race due to the district’s deep Democratic tilt, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 anchored in Madison and surrounding areas. The incumbent secured renomination in the August primary and faces no Republican opponent after the filing deadline passed without a GOP candidate, a rare outcome that has prompted all major forecasters to rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic. This structural advantage, combined with Pocan’s consistent prior margins exceeding 40 points, drives trader consensus toward near-certainty. The primary remaining uncertainties involve potential write-in or independent candidacies and any unforeseen developments before the November general election that could alter ballot access or voter turnout dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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