Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District in the August 11 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12%. No Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without a major-party opponent in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and anchored in Madison and surrounding suburbs. The seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, including Pocan’s 70% win in 2024. Traders price Pocan at 98.5% and the Republican Party at 0.4%, reflecting the absence of opposition and the district’s structural Democratic advantage. A credible Republican write-in effort, unexpected primary reversal, or late-breaking development affecting Pocan’s candidacy would be required to alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,544 Vol.
$102,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,544 Vol.
$102,544 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Mark Pocan (D)
$62,437 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District in the August 11 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12%. No Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without a major-party opponent in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and anchored in Madison and surrounding suburbs. The seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, including Pocan’s 70% win in 2024. Traders price Pocan at 98.5% and the Republican Party at 0.4%, reflecting the absence of opposition and the district’s structural Democratic advantage. A credible Republican write-in effort, unexpected primary reversal, or late-breaking development affecting Pocan’s candidacy would be required to alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District in the August 11 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12%. No Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without a major-party opponent in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and anchored in Madison and surrounding suburbs. The seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, including Pocan’s 70% win in 2024. Traders price Pocan at 98.5% and the Republican Party at 0.4%, reflecting the absence of opposition and the district’s structural Democratic advantage. A credible Republican write-in effort, unexpected primary reversal, or late-breaking development affecting Pocan’s candidacy would be required to alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,544End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin’s 2nd Congressional District in the August 11 primary, defeating challenger Douglas Alexander by roughly 88% to 12%. No Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving the November 3 general election without a major-party opponent in a district rated Solid Democratic by the Cook Political Report and anchored in Madison and surrounding suburbs. The seat has consistently delivered large Democratic margins, including Pocan’s 70% win in 2024. Traders price Pocan at 98.5% and the Republican Party at 0.4%, reflecting the absence of opposition and the district’s structural Democratic advantage. A credible Republican write-in effort, unexpected primary reversal, or late-breaking development affecting Pocan’s candidacy would be required to alter the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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