Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting, which consolidated northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder into a solidly GOP seat. As the three-term incumbent who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, Moore benefits from endorsements by President Trump and House leadership, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby remains underfunded and untested in a general election, with no major shifts reported since the primary. A scheduled October debate offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory absent unexpected developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$15,889 Vol.
$15,889 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
5%
$15,889 Vol.
$15,889 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Blake Moore (R)
$2,462 Vol.
95%
Peter Crosby (D)
$13,427 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting, which consolidated northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder into a solidly GOP seat. As the three-term incumbent who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, Moore benefits from endorsements by President Trump and House leadership, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby remains underfunded and untested in a general election, with no major shifts reported since the primary. A scheduled October debate offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$15,889End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting, which consolidated northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder into a solidly GOP seat. As the three-term incumbent who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, Moore benefits from endorsements by President Trump and House leadership, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby remains underfunded and untested in a general election, with no major shifts reported since the primary. A scheduled October debate offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory absent unexpected developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,889End Date
Nov 5, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Blake Moore holds a commanding lead in Utah’s 2nd Congressional District race due to the district’s strong Republican lean after recent redistricting, which consolidated northern Utah counties including Davis, Weber, Cache, and Box Elder into a solidly GOP seat. As the three-term incumbent who secured the nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 57 percent against state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee, Moore benefits from endorsements by President Trump and House leadership, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and consistent ratings of Safe or Solid Republican from nonpartisan forecasters. Democratic nominee Peter Crosby remains underfunded and untested in a general election, with no major shifts reported since the primary. A scheduled October debate offers limited opportunity to alter the trajectory absent unexpected developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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