Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding lead in the TN-05 general election race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that created a district stretching from Williamson County through Middle Tennessee into parts of West Tennessee, diluting Democratic strongholds and producing a strong Republican lean in recent presidential voting. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures like Gov. Bill Lee and former Gov. Bill Haslam, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his primary as a Columbia mayor with DCCC support. Recent internal polling shows Hatcher ahead by single digits among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Hatcher accounts for these structural advantages and limited time before the November 3 election, though a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, or unexpected national wave could still narrow the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$61,266 Vol.
$61,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
93%
Chaz Molder (D)
6%
$61,266 Vol.
$61,266 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Charlie Hatcher (R)
$28,908 Vol.
93%
Chaz Molder (D)
$32,357 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding lead in the TN-05 general election race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that created a district stretching from Williamson County through Middle Tennessee into parts of West Tennessee, diluting Democratic strongholds and producing a strong Republican lean in recent presidential voting. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures like Gov. Bill Lee and former Gov. Bill Haslam, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his primary as a Columbia mayor with DCCC support. Recent internal polling shows Hatcher ahead by single digits among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Hatcher accounts for these structural advantages and limited time before the November 3 election, though a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, or unexpected national wave could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$61,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding lead in the TN-05 general election race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that created a district stretching from Williamson County through Middle Tennessee into parts of West Tennessee, diluting Democratic strongholds and producing a strong Republican lean in recent presidential voting. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures like Gov. Bill Lee and former Gov. Bill Haslam, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his primary as a Columbia mayor with DCCC support. Recent internal polling shows Hatcher ahead by single digits among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Hatcher accounts for these structural advantages and limited time before the November 3 election, though a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, or unexpected national wave could still narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$61,266End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2f5e3684c...Charlie Hatcher holds a commanding lead in the TN-05 general election race due to the Republican-controlled redistricting that created a district stretching from Williamson County through Middle Tennessee into parts of West Tennessee, diluting Democratic strongholds and producing a strong Republican lean in recent presidential voting. Hatcher defeated incumbent Andy Ogles in the August Republican primary with establishment backing from figures like Gov. Bill Lee and former Gov. Bill Haslam, while Democrat Chaz Molder won his primary as a Columbia mayor with DCCC support. Recent internal polling shows Hatcher ahead by single digits among likely voters, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflected in the 93% odds for Hatcher accounts for these structural advantages and limited time before the November 3 election, though a major scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in urban pockets, or unexpected national wave could still narrow the margin.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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