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Politics·Primaries

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

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Politics·Primaries

Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner

Vivek Ramaswamy 97.1%

Casey Putsch 2.2%

Philip Funderburg <1%

Polymarket

$996,874 Vol.

Vivek Ramaswamy 97.1%

Casey Putsch 2.2%

Philip Funderburg <1%

Polymarket

$996,874 Vol.

Vivek Ramaswamy

$146,528 Vol.

97%

Casey Putsch

$825,982 Vol.

2%

Philip Funderburg

$24,364 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding 97% implied probability in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary stems from his early Trump endorsement, Ohio GOP backing in May 2025, massive self-funding and ad spending exceeding $10 million, and success in clearing most rivals from the May 5 ballot. Recent polling shows him at 96% support, with challengers Casey Putsch—a Northwest Ohio entrepreneur emphasizing manufacturing and anti-H1B policies—and fringe candidate Philip Funderburg trailing far behind amid intensifying attacks but minimal momentum. Trader consensus reflects Ramaswamy's path-to-victory in this open-seat race post-DeWine term limits, though a late scandal, turnout surge for underdogs, or ballot access issues could theoretically narrow the gap before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$996,874
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 3:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Vivek Ramaswamy's commanding 97% implied probability in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary stems from his early Trump endorsement, Ohio GOP backing in May 2025, massive self-funding and ad spending exceeding $10 million, and success in clearing most rivals from the May 5 ballot. Recent polling shows him at 96% support, with challengers Casey Putsch—a Northwest Ohio entrepreneur emphasizing manufacturing and anti-H1B policies—and fringe candidate Philip Funderburg trailing far behind amid intensifying attacks but minimal momentum. Trader consensus reflects Ramaswamy's path-to-victory in this open-seat race post-DeWine term limits, though a late scandal, turnout surge for underdogs, or ballot access issues could theoretically narrow the gap before polls close.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$996,874
End Date
May 5, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 5, 2025, 3:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Ohio, scheduled to take place on May 5, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Ohio Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Ohio Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 97%, followed by "Casey Putsch" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $996.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Vivek Ramaswamy" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Casey Putsch" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ohio Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.