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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

Market icon

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?

$2,035,182 Vol.

Feb 20, 2026
Polymarket

$2,035,182 Vol.

Polymarket

>5%

$1,161,937 Vol.

No

>10%

$873,245 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-5-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com
Volume
$2,035,182
End Date
Feb 20, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 12, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market in the Event 'Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?' (https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-nominate-as-fed-chair) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes for any 1-hour period between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on February 20, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A tie in the number of minutes will resolve to "No". If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome. The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/judy-shelton-fed-chair-nomination-odds-5-by-feb-20 or through the “Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a relevant 1-hour window. This will display the 1-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data. Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is ">5%" at 0%, followed by ">10%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?" has generated $2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?" is ">5%" at just 0%, with ">10%" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by Feb 20?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.