Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.8%

Judy Shelton 3.1%

No one nominated before 2027 <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Polymarket

$484,394,807 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$484,394,807
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposal

Final dispute

Final

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 95.8%

Judy Shelton 3.1%

No one nominated before 2027 <1%

Kevin Hassett <1%

Polymarket

$484,394,807 Vol.

Market icon

Kevin Warsh

$39,586,257 Vol.

96%

Market icon

Judy Shelton

$84,094,681 Vol.

3%

Market icon

No one nominated before 2027

$17,579,542 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Kevin Hassett

$27,765,619 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Rick Rieder

$23,785,380 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Michelle Bowman

$19,948,590 Vol.

<1%

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Christopher Waller

$22,106,486 Vol.

<1%

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Stephen Miran

$18,217,039 Vol.

<1%

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Bill Pulte

$24,407,211 Vol.

<1%

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David Malpass

$6,234,644 Vol.

<1%

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Howard Lutnick

$2,595,186 Vol.

<1%

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Arthur Laffer

$21,075,426 Vol.

<1%

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Larry Kudlow

$10,280,645 Vol.

<1%

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Jerome Powell

$27,581,127 Vol.

<1%

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Ron Paul

$12,579,480 Vol.

<1%

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Scott Bessent

$16,544,568 Vol.

<1%

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James Bullard

$2,725,834 Vol.

<1%

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Marc Sumerlin

$4,261,980 Vol.

<1%

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David Zervos

$17,867,554 Vol.

<1%

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Lorie K. Logan

$2,818,312 Vol.

<1%

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Philip Jefferson

$10,772,710 Vol.

<1%

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Janet Yellen

$21,274,535 Vol.

<1%

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Larry Lindsey

$6,011,646 Vol.

<1%

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Barron Trump

$20,832,446 Vol.

<1%

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Donald Trump

$23,442,901 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.