Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$72,487,570 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 18%

Christopher Waller 16.6%

Rick Rieder 7.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$72,487,570
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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$72,487,570 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 54%

Kevin Warsh 18%

Christopher Waller 16.6%

Rick Rieder 7.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,511,222 Vol.

54%

Kevin Warsh

$1,916,534 Vol.

18%

Christopher Waller

$1,984,768 Vol.

17%

Rick Rieder

$1,320,069 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,502,853 Vol.

2%

Michelle Bowman

$1,594,959 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,221,448 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,649,544 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,413,115 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,234,273 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,222,265 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$357,986 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,375,080 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$763,538 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,718 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,266 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$11,273,429 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$182,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,112 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$664,509 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$72,487,570
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.