Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$74,517,703 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 11.8%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,517,703
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$74,517,703 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 21%

Christopher Waller 11.8%

Rick Rieder 7.1%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,657,862 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$1,976,324 Vol.

21%

Christopher Waller

$2,064,125 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,374,207 Vol.

7%

Scott Bessent

$1,594,273 Vol.

3%

Michelle Bowman

$1,643,477 Vol.

1%

David Malpass

$1,284,125 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,463,394 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,691,808 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,327,589 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$537,916 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$693,967 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,377,080 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$773,738 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$569,390 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,519,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,140,629 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,543 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,421 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,491,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$12,328,754 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$183,578 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,125,612 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$74,517,703
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.