Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

$171,727,360 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 36%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 6.4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett
$8,880,856 Vol.
43%

Kevin Warsh
$4,657,245 Vol.
36%

Christopher Waller
$3,759,703 Vol.
9%

Rick Rieder
$3,149,566 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$4,104,536 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$4,301,652 Vol.
2%

Michelle Bowman
$3,510,923 Vol.
2%

Stephen Miran
$3,364,609 Vol.
1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,296,421 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$20,851,508 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$2,850,272 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$4,226,276 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,649,165 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$9,478,154 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,860,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$4,992,916 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$1,835,542 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$2,592,905 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,466,893 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,959,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$4,549,889 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,570,840 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,274,042 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,131,336 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,407,576 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC

Volume

$171,727,360

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$171,727,360 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 43%

Kevin Warsh 36%

Christopher Waller 8.8%

Rick Rieder 6.4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$8,880,856 Vol.

43%

Kevin Warsh

$4,657,245 Vol.

36%

Christopher Waller

$3,759,703 Vol.

Rick Rieder

$3,149,566 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$4,104,536 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$4,301,652 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$3,510,923 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$3,364,609 Vol.

No one nominated before 2027

$2,296,421 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$20,851,508 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$2,850,272 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$4,226,276 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$1,649,165 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$9,478,154 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$9,860,202 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$4,992,916 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,835,542 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$2,592,905 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$2,466,893 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$1,959,330 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$4,549,889 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,570,840 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,274,042 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$18,131,336 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,407,576 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$171,727,360

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 19, 2026?

21%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

13%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett
$8,880,856 Vol.
43%

Kevin Warsh
$4,657,245 Vol.
36%

Christopher Waller
$3,759,703 Vol.
9%

Rick Rieder
$3,149,566 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$4,104,536 Vol.
2%

Judy Shelton
$4,301,652 Vol.
2%

Michelle Bowman
$3,510,923 Vol.
2%

Stephen Miran
$3,364,609 Vol.
1%

No one nominated before 2027
$2,296,421 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$20,851,508 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$2,850,272 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$4,226,276 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$1,649,165 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$9,478,154 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$9,860,202 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$4,992,916 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$1,835,542 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$2,592,905 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$2,466,893 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$1,959,330 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$4,549,889 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,570,840 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,274,042 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$18,131,336 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,407,576 Vol.
<1%

Market Context