Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

$75,432,662 Vol.

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Rick Rieder 6.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,432,662
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$75,432,662 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett 56%

Kevin Warsh 22%

Christopher Waller 11.5%

Rick Rieder 6.5%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Kevin Hassett

$4,721,463 Vol.

56%

Kevin Warsh

$2,019,191 Vol.

22%

Christopher Waller

$2,116,970 Vol.

12%

Rick Rieder

$1,408,498 Vol.

7%

Michelle Bowman

$1,676,472 Vol.

2%

Scott Bessent

$1,646,491 Vol.

2%

David Malpass

$1,321,899 Vol.

<1%

Judy Shelton

$1,483,701 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Miran

$1,712,135 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$1,350,119 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$647,818 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$716,211 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$11,482,916 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$787,539 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$669,589 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$6,536,735 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$2,245,517 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$1,306,292 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$1,245,674 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$1,357,423 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$1,493,818 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$12,330,754 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$784,041 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$237,778 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$14,129,112 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$75,432,662
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.