Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$17,100,084 Vol.
Kevin Hassett 72%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 6.5%
Rick Rieder 3.8%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
$1,668,870 Vol.
72%
Kevin Hassett
$1,668,870 Vol.
72%
Kevin Warsh
$442,239 Vol.
13%
Kevin Warsh
$442,239 Vol.
13%
Christopher Waller
$692,850 Vol.
7%
Christopher Waller
$692,850 Vol.
7%
Rick Rieder
$421,887 Vol.
4%
Rick Rieder
$421,887 Vol.
4%
Scott Bessent
$530,609 Vol.
4%
Scott Bessent
$530,609 Vol.
4%
Michelle Bowman
$313,825 Vol.
2%
Michelle Bowman
$313,825 Vol.
2%
David Malpass
$324,133 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$324,133 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$668,059 Vol.
<1%
Stephen Miran
$668,059 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$300,274 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$300,274 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$861,556 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$861,556 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$903,728 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$903,728 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$328,057 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$328,057 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$256,743 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$256,743 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$412,574 Vol.
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
$412,574 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$2,577,318 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$462,029 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$462,029 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$223,961 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$223,961 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,871,514 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$1,871,514 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$438,237 Vol.
<1%
James Bullard
$438,237 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$955,283 Vol.
<1%
David Zervos
$955,283 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,354,622 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$1,354,622 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$250,914 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$250,914 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$697,564 Vol.
<1%
Larry Lindsey
$697,564 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$101,961 Vol.
<1%
Barron Trump
$101,961 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$36,271 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$36,271 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 5:21 PM
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...$17,100,084 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Hassett 72%
Kevin Warsh 13%
Christopher Waller 6.5%
Rick Rieder 3.8%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Kevin Hassett
72%
Kevin Warsh
13%
Christopher Waller
7%
Rick Rieder
4%
Scott Bessent
4%
Michelle Bowman
2%
David Malpass
<1%
Stephen Miran
<1%
Jerome Powell
<1%
Judy Shelton
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
<1%
Howard Lutnick
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
<1%
No one nominated before 2027
<1%
Bill Pulte
<1%
Arthur Laffer
<1%
Larry Kudlow
<1%
Ron Paul
<1%
James Bullard
<1%
David Zervos
<1%
Philip Jefferson
<1%
Janet Yellen
<1%
Larry Lindsey
<1%
Barron Trump
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
About
Resolver
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