Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?
$189,841 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.
Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.
Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Jun 13, 2025, 7:57 AM
Volume
$189,841End Date
Jun 14, 2025Created At
Jun 13, 2025, 7:57 AMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$189,841 Vol.
Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran conducts a ballistic missile strike on Israeli soil by June 13, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.
Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of a ballistic missile launched by Iranian military forces that impacts ground territory internationally recognized as part of Israel. A ballistic missile is defined as a projectile that is powered during launch and follows a ballistic trajectory under the force of gravity for the majority of its flight.
Cruise missiles, rockets, drones (including loitering munitions, kamikaze drones, FPVs, and other UAVs), and artillery do not count. Ballistic missiles that are intercepted or fail to impact Israeli soil will not qualify. Bombings, cyberattacks, ground incursions, or any other indirect methods of attack will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$189,841End Date
Jun 14, 2025Created At
Jun 13, 2025, 7:57 AMResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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Beware of external links.