Market icon
World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Market icon
World·South Korea

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 93%

Yoo Jeong-bok 4.4%

Yoo Dong-soo 1.2%

Lee Hak-jae <1%

Polymarket

$2,422,151 Vol.

Park Chan-dae 93%

Yoo Jeong-bok 4.4%

Yoo Dong-soo 1.2%

Lee Hak-jae <1%

Polymarket

$2,422,151 Vol.

Market icon

Park Chan-dae

$119,309 Vol.

93%

Market icon

Yoo Jeong-bok

$1,908,270 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Yoo Dong-soo

$90,421 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Lee Hak-jae

$31,589 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bae June-young

$15,493 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kyo-heung

$48,968 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Yoon Sang-hyun

$129,634 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Chung Il-young

$34,695 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Park Nam-choon

$43,772 Vol.

<1%

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Democratic Party lawmaker Park Chan-dae's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the June 3 Incheon mayoral election stems from his party's single nomination on March 4 and a March poll showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok by 30 points (57.8% to 27.6%), reflecting strong voter preference amid incumbency fatigue after Yoo's narrow 2022 win. DP's momentum in local polls, bolstered by Park's prominence as a three-term Yeonsu Gap representative, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic flip. Challenges could arise from a Yoo campaign surge, late scandals targeting Park, conservative turnout spikes, or national political shifts before election day.

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$2,422,151
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).Democratic Party lawmaker Park Chan-dae's commanding 92.5% implied probability in the June 3 Incheon mayoral election stems from his party's single nomination on March 4 and a March poll showing him leading incumbent People Power Party Mayor Yoo Jeong-bok by 30 points (57.8% to 27.6%), reflecting strong voter preference amid incumbency fatigue after Yoo's narrow 2022 win. DP's momentum in local polls, bolstered by Park's prominence as a three-term Yeonsu Gap representative, has solidified trader consensus on a Democratic flip. Challenges could arise from a Yoo campaign surge, late scandals targeting Park, conservative turnout spikes, or national political shifts before election day.

The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Volume
$2,422,151
End Date
Jun 3, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The Incheon mayoral election is scheduled to take place in Incheon, South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Incheon. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Related

Market icon

Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

73%
Market icon

Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?

73%
Market icon

Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?

86%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Park Chan-dae" at 93%, followed by "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $2.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 17, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" is "Park Chan-dae" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yoo Jeong-bok" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Incheon Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.