Traders on Polymarket price TISZA at 63.5% implied probability to win Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, reflecting consensus from independent polls showing the centre-right challenger widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the vote for the 199-seat unicameral parliament. Recent Medián and IDEA surveys from mid-to-late March indicate TISZA at 49-58% versus Fidesz-KDNP at 35-39% among decided voters, bolstered by Péter Magyar's rallies drawing large crowds and criticism of Fidesz governance. Fidesz-aligned polls show a tighter race, with the party securing recent by-elections, while undecided voters and turnout in single-member districts remain key uncertainties that could tip the balance for a majority government.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
TISZA 64%
Fidesz-KDNP 37%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$41,150,001 Vol.
$41,150,001 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
64%
Fidesz-KDNP
37%
Momentum
<1%
DK
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
KDNP
<1%
TISZA 64%
Fidesz-KDNP 37%
Momentum <1%
DK <1%
$41,150,001 Vol.
$41,150,001 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
TISZA
$777,202 Vol.
64%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,075,039 Vol.
37%
Momentum
$551,505 Vol.
<1%
DK
$2,087,723 Vol.
<1%
LMP
$14,325,691 Vol.
<1%
MSZP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$459,808 Vol.
<1%
Párbeszéd
$7,086,484 Vol.
<1%
Jobbik
$14,786,550 Vol.
<1%
KDNP
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Traders on Polymarket price TISZA at 63.5% implied probability to win Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, reflecting consensus from independent polls showing the centre-right challenger widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the vote for the 199-seat unicameral parliament. Recent Medián and IDEA surveys from mid-to-late March indicate TISZA at 49-58% versus Fidesz-KDNP at 35-39% among decided voters, bolstered by Péter Magyar's rallies drawing large crowds and criticism of Fidesz governance. Fidesz-aligned polls show a tighter race, with the party securing recent by-elections, while undecided voters and turnout in single-member districts remain key uncertainties that could tip the balance for a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$41,150,001End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Traders on Polymarket price TISZA at 63.5% implied probability to win Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, reflecting consensus from independent polls showing the centre-right challenger widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the vote for the 199-seat unicameral parliament. Recent Medián and IDEA surveys from mid-to-late March indicate TISZA at 49-58% versus Fidesz-KDNP at 35-39% among decided voters, bolstered by Péter Magyar's rallies drawing large crowds and criticism of Fidesz governance. Fidesz-aligned polls show a tighter race, with the party securing recent by-elections, while undecided voters and turnout in single-member districts remain key uncertainties that could tip the balance for a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Volume
$41,150,001End Date
Apr 12, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders on Polymarket price TISZA at 63.5% implied probability to win Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, reflecting consensus from independent polls showing the centre-right challenger widening its lead over incumbent Fidesz-KDNP ahead of the vote for the 199-seat unicameral parliament. Recent Medián and IDEA surveys from mid-to-late March indicate TISZA at 49-58% versus Fidesz-KDNP at 35-39% among decided voters, bolstered by Péter Magyar's rallies drawing large crowds and criticism of Fidesz governance. Fidesz-aligned polls show a tighter race, with the party securing recent by-elections, while undecided voters and turnout in single-member districts remain key uncertainties that could tip the balance for a majority government.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions