How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
$89,992 Vol.
3 32%
2 22%
4 11.2%
1 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$6,622 Vol.
3%
0
$6,622 Vol.
3%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
2
$10,260 Vol.
22%
2
$10,260 Vol.
22%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
5
$10,054 Vol.
6%
5
$10,054 Vol.
6%
6
$5,839 Vol.
4%
6
$5,839 Vol.
4%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
12
$5,630 Vol.
1%
12
$5,630 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Created At: Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PM
Volume
$89,992End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$89,992 Vol.
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
3 32%
2 22%
4 11.2%
1 9%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
0
$6,622 Vol.
3%
1
$15,727 Vol.
9%
2
$10,260 Vol.
22%
3
$6,129 Vol.
32%
4
$9,466 Vol.
11%
5
$10,054 Vol.
6%
6
$5,839 Vol.
4%
7
$1,514 Vol.
2%
8
$756 Vol.
<1%
9
$4,616 Vol.
<1%
10
$718 Vol.
<1%
11
$4,905 Vol.
1%
12
$5,630 Vol.
1%
13
$2,440 Vol.
1%
14
$2,797 Vol.
<1%
15+
$2,737 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$89,992End Date
Dec 31, 2026Created At
Nov 13, 2025, 3:52 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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