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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,528,797 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,528,797 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,021,697 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,034,554 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,730,127 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,561,768 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,334,219 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,764,706 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,530,455 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,379,924 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,619,289 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,980,248 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,772,063 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,484,138 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,395,800 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,110,636 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,027,451 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,689,864 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,298,615 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,962,759 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,395,689 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,569,947 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,444,697 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,508,798 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,309,098 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,086,428 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,938,886 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,642,341 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,274,199 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,861,066 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,017,379 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,514,748 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,905,034 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,611,463 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,106,953 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,261,202 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,204,786 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,012,759 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,330,468 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$30,863,836 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,797,640 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,288,348 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,240,785 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,204,424 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,078,858 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,382,890 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his repeated public signals of interest post-2026 midterms, bolstering his profile as a high-profile governor with national fundraising networks. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm amid moderate efforts like Third Way's campaign to elevate centrists. Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Senate rising-star appeal, while Harris lags at 4.3% post-2024. In this wide-open primary absent an incumbent, executive experience and midterm performances in battleground states could consolidate support, alongside early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom commands Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his repeated public signals of interest post-2026 midterms, bolstering his profile as a high-profile governor with national fundraising networks. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm amid moderate efforts like Third Way's campaign to elevate centrists. Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Senate rising-star appeal, while Harris lags at 4.3% post-2024. In this wide-open primary absent an incumbent, executive experience and midterm performances in battleground states could consolidate support, alongside early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his repeated public signals of interest post-2026 midterms, bolstering his profile as a high-profile governor with national fundraising networks. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm amid moderate efforts like Third Way's campaign to elevate centrists. Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Senate rising-star appeal, while Harris lags at 4.3% post-2024. In this wide-open primary absent an incumbent, executive experience and midterm performances in battleground states could consolidate support, alongside early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Gavin Newsom commands Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a recent LA Times/UC Berkeley poll showing him dominating Kamala Harris among California Democrats and his repeated public signals of interest post-2026 midterms, bolstering his profile as a high-profile governor with national fundraising networks. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8.2%, buoyed by progressive enthusiasm amid moderate efforts like Third Way's campaign to elevate centrists. Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Senate rising-star appeal, while Harris lags at 4.3% post-2024. In this wide-open primary absent an incumbent, executive experience and midterm performances in battleground states could consolidate support, alongside early Iowa caucus and New Hampshire primary polling.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $926.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.