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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$925,919,103 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$925,919,103 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,002,123 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,027,496 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,712,932 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,559,864 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,325,596 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,758,996 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,369,977 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,529,516 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,602,873 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,968,986 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,759,291 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,480,156 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,394,549 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,101,591 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$6,984,181 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,664,026 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,372,003 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,298,069 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,954,679 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,569,910 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,482,941 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,442,546 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,292,345 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,063,277 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,918,787 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,625,029 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,240,164 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,850,507 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$34,988,050 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,505,775 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,894,726 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,586,626 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,081,869 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,256,390 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,191,425 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,009,234 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,325,337 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$30,844,360 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,785,098 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,286,266 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,232,012 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,200,730 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,045,354 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,337,400 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his recent polling surges—including a 25% lead in the August 2025 Emerson national survey and dominance over rivals like Kamala Harris in a March 2026 LA Times/UC Berkeley poll of California Democrats—bolstered by his term limit freeing him for a national run and high-profile clashes with the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on her progressive appeal, media presence, and recent international appearances fueling speculation over a presidential or Senate bid, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia swing-state viability. In this fragmented field post-2024, consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising tallies, key endorsements, or standout performances in debates and swing states.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his recent polling surges—including a 25% lead in the August 2025 Emerson national survey and dominance over rivals like Kamala Harris in a March 2026 LA Times/UC Berkeley poll of California Democrats—bolstered by his term limit freeing him for a national run and high-profile clashes with the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on her progressive appeal, media presence, and recent international appearances fueling speculation over a presidential or Senate bid, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia swing-state viability. In this fragmented field post-2024, consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising tallies, key endorsements, or standout performances in debates and swing states.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his recent polling surges—including a 25% lead in the August 2025 Emerson national survey and dominance over rivals like Kamala Harris in a March 2026 LA Times/UC Berkeley poll of California Democrats—bolstered by his term limit freeing him for a national run and high-profile clashes with the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on her progressive appeal, media presence, and recent international appearances fueling speculation over a presidential or Senate bid, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia swing-state viability. In this fragmented field post-2024, consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising tallies, key endorsements, or standout performances in debates and swing states.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices California Governor Gavin Newsom at 24.3% implied probability to secure the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, driven by his recent polling surges—including a 25% lead in the August 2025 Emerson national survey and dominance over rivals like Kamala Harris in a March 2026 LA Times/UC Berkeley poll of California Democrats—bolstered by his term limit freeing him for a national run and high-profile clashes with the Trump administration. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.2% on her progressive appeal, media presence, and recent international appearances fueling speculation over a presidential or Senate bid, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia swing-state viability. In this fragmented field post-2024, consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, early fundraising tallies, key endorsements, or standout performances in debates and swing states.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $925.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.