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icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

icon for Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Elections·United States

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.8%

Jon Ossoff 15.8%

Gavin Newsom 12.7%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,277,346,986 Vol.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18.8%

Jon Ossoff 15.8%

Gavin Newsom 12.7%

Kamala Harris 7.8%

Polymarket

$1,277,346,986 Vol.

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$15,162,682 Vol.

19%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$12,893,268 Vol.

16%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$27,251,703 Vol.

13%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$13,229,203 Vol.

8%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$11,992,633 Vol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,890,141 Vol.

5%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$17,553,455 Vol.

3%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$13,157,397 Vol.

3%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$14,552,246 Vol.

3%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$10,644,167 Vol.

2%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$18,419,914 Vol.

2%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$11,277,088 Vol.

2%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$15,653,245 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$12,509,802 Vol.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$26,281,574 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$12,056,140 Vol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$50,436,419 Vol.

1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$32,185,715 Vol.

1%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$44,407,663 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chris Murphy

Chris Murphy

$17,405,575 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$52,740,893 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$26,246,873 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$38,929,833 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$1,181,297 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jasmine Crockett

Jasmine Crockett

$36,465,628 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$23,008,816 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$22,929,794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$35,768,315 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$31,515,718 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$27,348,060 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$24,752,462 Vol.

<1%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$34,051,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$43,905,136 Vol.

<1%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$48,731,276 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$3,081,131 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$2,376,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$43,351,809 Vol.

<1%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$25,593,967 Vol.

<1%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$38,478,137 Vol.

<1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$42,389,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$43,965,938 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$43,426,074 Vol.

<1%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$40,994,435 Vol.

<1%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$54,387,865 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$42,810,600 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$42,861,291 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruben Gallego

Ruben Gallego

$8,461,610 Vol.

<1%

icon for Graham Platner

Graham Platner

$8,523,118 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$803,511 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$499,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$806,614 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested because no single contender has consolidated support across the party's progressive and moderate wings two years before the primaries. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, followed closely by Gavin Newsom, reflecting base enthusiasm for AOC, Ossoff's rising profile amid his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, and Newsom's national visibility as a term-limited governor. Kamala Harris trades lower despite stronger early polling averages, illustrating a gap between survey respondents and skin-in-the-game market pricing focused on electability concerns. Recent positioning—such as Harris campaigning alongside Ossoff and AOC signaling openness to a run—has kept the field fluid. Separation is likely to emerge from 2026 midterm results, early-state polling shifts, fundraising hauls, endorsements, or primary debates that clarify paths to the nomination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,277,346,986
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The 2028 Democratic presidential nomination market remains tightly contested because no single contender has consolidated support across the party's progressive and moderate wings two years before the primaries. Traders assign the highest probabilities to Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff, followed closely by Gavin Newsom, reflecting base enthusiasm for AOC, Ossoff's rising profile amid his Georgia Senate reelection campaign, and Newsom's national visibility as a term-limited governor. Kamala Harris trades lower despite stronger early polling averages, illustrating a gap between survey respondents and skin-in-the-game market pricing focused on electability concerns. Recent positioning—such as Harris campaigning alongside Ossoff and AOC signaling openness to a run—has kept the field fluid. Separation is likely to emerge from 2026 midterm results, early-state polling shifts, fundraising hauls, endorsements, or primary debates that clarify paths to the nomination.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$1,277,346,986
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 51+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 19%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $1.3 billion in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 51+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.