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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$981,945,310 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.1%

Jon Ossoff 8.5%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$981,945,310 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$19,047,279 Vol.

24%

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Jon Ossoff

$7,429,795 Vol.

8%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$8,465,463 Vol.

8%

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Kamala Harris

$9,147,051 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,777,067 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$6,229,322 Vol.

4%

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Stephen A. Smith

$15,712,670 Vol.

3%

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James Talarico

$5,708,428 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$12,925,101 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$12,956,430 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$7,859,914 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,965,928 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$5,610,075 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,458,611 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$22,133,638 Vol.

1%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,767,697 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$13,864,824 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,627,796 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$18,112,259 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$9,315,395 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$44,009,702 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,231,030 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$33,770,090 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,342,995 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,902,706 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,580,990 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$25,861,318 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$26,416,915 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$26,510,114 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,655,996 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$37,324,760 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,380,007 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$43,025,428 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$39,064,219 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,761,462 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$38,280,131 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$28,189,248 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,755,681 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$20,392,865 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$34,497,316 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$24,155,650 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$40,301,788 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$32,881,128 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$32,542,735 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent Washington insider surveys naming him the top party leader and California primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris, whose odds have fallen to 4.3%. Jon Ossoff at 8.5% gains from a viral anti-Trump speech boosting his profile as a young moderate from battleground Georgia ahead of his 2026 Senate reelection, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7.9% draws progressive support amid debates over the party's post-2024 direction. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty, with 2026 midterm outcomes for governors like Newsom, Josh Shapiro (3.5%), and senators poised to consolidate support through fundraising leads, swing-state wins, and caucus endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,945,310
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads trader consensus at 24.1% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by recent Washington insider surveys naming him the top party leader and California primary polls showing him trouncing Kamala Harris, whose odds have fallen to 4.3%. Jon Ossoff at 8.5% gains from a viral anti-Trump speech boosting his profile as a young moderate from battleground Georgia ahead of his 2026 Senate reelection, while Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 7.9% draws progressive support amid debates over the party's post-2024 direction. The wide-open field reflects uncertainty, with 2026 midterm outcomes for governors like Newsom, Josh Shapiro (3.5%), and senators poised to consolidate support through fundraising leads, swing-state wins, and caucus endorsements.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$981,945,310
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $981.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Jon Ossoff" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.