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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,567,321 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.5%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$946,567,321 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$17,015,579 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,247,797 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,948,199 Vol.

5%

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Kamala Harris

$8,789,923 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,981,294 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,583,072 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$4,221,389 Vol.

3%

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Andy Beshear

$6,468,339 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,795,739 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$10,302,494 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$11,216,586 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,653,813 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,653,279 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,300,613 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,430,941 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,704,184 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,971,833 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$43,353,490 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$21,465,810 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,214,855 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,908,414 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,831,525 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$17,082,694 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$33,119,377 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,689,348 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,424,631 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$37,433,993 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$32,640,865 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,554,718 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,751,520 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,347,210 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,871,409 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,569,241 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,533,534 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,991,005 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,657,850 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$42,474,148 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$33,058,135 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,573,010 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,600,135 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,571,340 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,741,200 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$39,044,642 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$31,789,019 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a California primary matchup—their shared home state—underscoring his executive experience and fundraising prowess in the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, drawing progressive enthusiasm despite polarization, while Jon Ossoff's viral February anti-Trump Senate speech has boosted him to 5.5% amid swing-state appeal. This fragmented field, with no incumbent, hinges on 2026 midterm performances, national polling trends, key endorsements, and path-to-victory in early states like South Carolina and New Hampshire, where electability against GOP figures like JD Vance will differentiate contenders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$946,567,321
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll revealing his 14-point lead over Kamala Harris in a California primary matchup—their shared home state—underscoring his executive experience and fundraising prowess in the invisible primary. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez follows at 8%, drawing progressive enthusiasm despite polarization, while Jon Ossoff's viral February anti-Trump Senate speech has boosted him to 5.5% amid swing-state appeal. This fragmented field, with no incumbent, hinges on 2026 midterm performances, national polling trends, key endorsements, and path-to-victory in early states like South Carolina and New Hampshire, where electability against GOP figures like JD Vance will differentiate contenders.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$946,567,321
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $946.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.