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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,295,694 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.9%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,295,694 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,007,507 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,028,219 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,729,886 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,560,008 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,326,609 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,760,971 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,530,049 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,378,366 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,612,223 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,972,520 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,767,824 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,484,115 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,395,799 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,109,896 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$6,997,383 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,686,384 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,298,597 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,381,190 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,960,559 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,569,947 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,488,637 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,443,292 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,305,662 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,076,754 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,934,590 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,638,209 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,245,265 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,853,394 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,012,976 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,514,444 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,899,890 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,608,974 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,106,942 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,257,655 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,203,584 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,009,571 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,325,713 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$30,860,437 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,792,778 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,287,790 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,238,791 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,202,425 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,065,311 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,369,075 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his California governorship delivering executive experience, massive fundraising hauls exceeding $100 million, and positioning as a sharp Trump critic during recent policy clashes over immigration and economy. Recent national polls like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Kamala Harris edging him at 22% versus 19%, yet traders discount her post-2024 electoral loss and VP baggage, favoring untested contenders. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% energizes progressives with grassroots mobilization and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia battleground resilience. Consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm triumphs for swing-state governors like Josh Shapiro, donor endorsements, and DNC rules favoring electability amid open primary dynamics.

Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his California governorship delivering executive experience, massive fundraising hauls exceeding $100 million, and positioning as a sharp Trump critic during recent policy clashes over immigration and economy. Recent national polls like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Kamala Harris edging him at 22% versus 19%, yet traders discount her post-2024 electoral loss and VP baggage, favoring untested contenders. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% energizes progressives with grassroots mobilization and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia battleground resilience. Consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm triumphs for swing-state governors like Josh Shapiro, donor endorsements, and DNC rules favoring electability amid open primary dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his California governorship delivering executive experience, massive fundraising hauls exceeding $100 million, and positioning as a sharp Trump critic during recent policy clashes over immigration and economy. Recent national polls like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Kamala Harris edging him at 22% versus 19%, yet traders discount her post-2024 electoral loss and VP baggage, favoring untested contenders. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% energizes progressives with grassroots mobilization and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia battleground resilience. Consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm triumphs for swing-state governors like Josh Shapiro, donor endorsements, and DNC rules favoring electability amid open primary dynamics.

Gavin Newsom leads Polymarket trader consensus at 24.3% for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, buoyed by his California governorship delivering executive experience, massive fundraising hauls exceeding $100 million, and positioning as a sharp Trump critic during recent policy clashes over immigration and economy. Recent national polls like JL Partners (March 18-20) show Kamala Harris edging him at 22% versus 19%, yet traders discount her post-2024 electoral loss and VP baggage, favoring untested contenders. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8.2% energizes progressives with grassroots mobilization and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 5.9% reflects Georgia battleground resilience. Consolidation hinges on 2026 midterm triumphs for swing-state governors like Josh Shapiro, donor endorsements, and DNC rules favoring electability amid open primary dynamics.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $926.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.