Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$957,860,537 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.0%

Jon Ossoff 5.3%

Kamala Harris 4.0%

Polymarket

$957,860,537 Vol.

Market icon

Gavin Newsom

$17,537,651 Vol.

25%

Market icon

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,451,311 Vol.

8%

Market icon

Jon Ossoff

$6,269,619 Vol.

5%

Market icon

Kamala Harris

$9,002,551 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Josh Shapiro

$6,012,281 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pete Buttigieg

$9,624,653 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Andy Beshear

$6,643,035 Vol.

3%

Market icon

J.B. Pritzker

$12,347,914 Vol.

2%

Market icon

James Talarico

$4,863,055 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Jon Stewart

$10,814,371 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Mark Kelly

$11,627,446 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ruben Gallego

$3,714,494 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Wes Moore

$13,674,887 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ro Khanna

$4,936,577 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Gretchen Whitmer

$7,319,914 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Michelle Obama

$21,971,828 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Stephen A. Smith

$14,188,333 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Oprah Winfrey

$43,409,678 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Cory Booker

$21,484,908 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Rahm Emanuel

$11,238,661 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mark Cuban

$17,945,820 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,877,454 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Fetterman

$17,116,500 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Zohran Mamdani

$33,209,253 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chelsea Clinton

$44,780,791 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Chris Murphy

$11,483,886 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Roy Cooper

$25,336,809 Vol.

1%

Market icon

George Clooney

$37,559,392 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Liz Cheney

$33,447,084 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Andrew Yang

$42,892,574 Vol.

1%

Market icon

LeBron James

$38,863,653 Vol.

1%

Market icon

MrBeast

$35,524,955 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hillary Clinton

$37,779,618 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Gina Raimondo

$27,712,301 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Raphael Warnock

$25,554,115 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Barack Obama

$26,329,648 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Tim Walz

$36,832,553 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$33,404,000 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$19,699,642 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Phil Murphy

$33,727,059 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Hunter Biden

$31,718,706 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Jasmine Crockett

$23,209,549 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Bernie Sanders

$39,420,401 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Beto O’Rourke

$32,305,661 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.7% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a run amid national book tours critiquing President Trump. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.0% buoyed by progressive appeal and youth voter polls, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects his Georgia Senate battleground success and electability buzz; Harris lingers at 4.0% despite recent Southern fundraising amid 2024 loss scrutiny. Differentiators include governors' executive experience, senators' swing-state wins, and ideological lanes, with 2026 midterms, early-state polling, and donor endorsements poised to consolidate the wide-open field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$957,860,537
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom commands trader consensus at 24.7% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, propelled by a March 12 POLITICO poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris in their home-state primary and his March 15 South by Southwest remarks hinting at a run amid national book tours critiquing President Trump. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.0% buoyed by progressive appeal and youth voter polls, while Jon Ossoff's 5.3% reflects his Georgia Senate battleground success and electability buzz; Harris lingers at 4.0% despite recent Southern fundraising amid 2024 loss scrutiny. Differentiators include governors' executive experience, senators' swing-state wins, and ideological lanes, with 2026 midterms, early-state polling, and donor endorsements poised to consolidate the wide-open field.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$957,860,537
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $957.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.