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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,454,652 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.3%

Polymarket

$926,454,652 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$16,016,545 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,034,519 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,730,127 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,560,563 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,333,188 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,764,700 Vol.

4%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,530,455 Vol.

2%

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James Talarico

$3,378,506 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,616,331 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,978,207 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,771,017 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,484,138 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,395,799 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,110,636 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,025,392 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,687,737 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,298,615 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,962,759 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,391,118 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,569,947 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,504,553 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,443,714 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,307,142 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,082,583 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,938,386 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,640,363 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,250,318 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,858,870 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$35,015,565 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,514,748 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,903,000 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,610,602 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,106,953 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,259,551 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,203,808 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$25,012,177 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,330,468 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$30,862,374 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,795,493 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,288,338 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,239,803 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,203,435 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$24,073,449 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,379,818 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds the trader consensus lead at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March California primary poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris by 14 points, his $25 million war chest, and recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire signaling presidential ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal to young voters, evident in New Hampshire surveys, while Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from his swing-state Senate profile. The fragmented field reflects post-2024 recalibration with no dominant incumbent; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, national fundraising surges, and Iowa caucus dynamics could consolidate support ahead of the 2028 primaries.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds the trader consensus lead at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March California primary poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris by 14 points, his $25 million war chest, and recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire signaling presidential ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal to young voters, evident in New Hampshire surveys, while Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from his swing-state Senate profile. The fragmented field reflects post-2024 recalibration with no dominant incumbent; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, national fundraising surges, and Iowa caucus dynamics could consolidate support ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.California Governor Gavin Newsom holds the trader consensus lead at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March California primary poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris by 14 points, his $25 million war chest, and recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire signaling presidential ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal to young voters, evident in New Hampshire surveys, while Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from his swing-state Senate profile. The fragmented field reflects post-2024 recalibration with no dominant incumbent; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, national fundraising surges, and Iowa caucus dynamics could consolidate support ahead of the 2028 primaries.

California Governor Gavin Newsom holds the trader consensus lead at 24% implied probability for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination, bolstered by a March California primary poll showing him trouncing Kamala Harris by 14 points, his $25 million war chest, and recent book tour stops in early primary states like New Hampshire signaling presidential ambitions. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive appeal to young voters, evident in New Hampshire surveys, while Jon Ossoff at 6% benefits from his swing-state Senate profile. The fragmented field reflects post-2024 recalibration with no dominant incumbent; 2026 midterm results for governors like Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, national fundraising surges, and Iowa caucus dynamics could consolidate support ahead of the 2028 primaries.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $926.5 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.