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Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Market icon
Elections·Global Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$924,875,596 Vol.

Gavin Newsom 24.3%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.2%

Jon Ossoff 5.8%

Kamala Harris 4.4%

Polymarket

$924,875,596 Vol.

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Gavin Newsom

$15,977,232 Vol.

24%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$6,023,819 Vol.

8%

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Jon Ossoff

$5,701,246 Vol.

6%

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Kamala Harris

$8,533,468 Vol.

4%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,756,544 Vol.

4%

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Pete Buttigieg

$9,300,940 Vol.

4%

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James Talarico

$3,330,667 Vol.

2%

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Jon Stewart

$9,595,379 Vol.

2%

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J.B. Pritzker

$11,515,142 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$5,932,731 Vol.

2%

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Mark Kelly

$10,736,083 Vol.

2%

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Ruben Gallego

$3,475,709 Vol.

2%

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Wes Moore

$13,383,563 Vol.

2%

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Ro Khanna

$4,097,863 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$6,964,427 Vol.

1%

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Oprah Winfrey

$42,597,729 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$21,269,392 Vol.

1%

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Cory Booker

$20,367,623 Vol.

1%

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Rahm Emanuel

$10,950,091 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,547,284 Vol.

1%

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Chris Murphy

$11,156,791 Vol.

1%

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Stephen A. Smith

$13,459,377 Vol.

1%

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Mark Cuban

$17,432,448 Vol.

1%

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Gina Raimondo

$27,046,744 Vol.

1%

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Liz Cheney

$31,909,855 Vol.

1%

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John Fetterman

$16,613,237 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$38,222,496 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$32,845,383 Vol.

1%

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MrBeast

$34,979,214 Vol.

1%

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Roy Cooper

$24,496,188 Vol.

1%

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George Clooney

$36,885,551 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$32,572,303 Vol.

1%

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Jared Polis

$19,065,165 Vol.

1%

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Chelsea Clinton

$44,250,624 Vol.

1%

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Hillary Clinton

$37,171,727 Vol.

1%

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Barack Obama

$24,996,967 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$36,230,519 Vol.

1%

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Beto O’Rourke

$30,820,158 Vol.

1%

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Andrew Yang

$41,772,642 Vol.

1%

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Phil Murphy

$33,271,028 Vol.

1%

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Hunter Biden

$31,212,711 Vol.

1%

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Jasmine Crockett

$22,195,489 Vol.

1%

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Raphael Warnock

$23,939,915 Vol.

1%

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Bernie Sanders

$38,279,177 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Kamala Harris's defeat in the 2024 presidential election, the Democratic 2028 nomination field remains wide open, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24.3% implied probability due to his executive experience, national profile from anti-Trump engagements, and term limit prompting an early jump into speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on strong progressive grassroots appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6.0% reflects his swing-state Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. Harris's drop to 4.5% stems from her recent loss eroding frontrunner status. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, major fundraising announcements, Biden-era endorsements, or shifts in hypothetical primary polling averages favoring governors over senators.

Following Kamala Harris's defeat in the 2024 presidential election, the Democratic 2028 nomination field remains wide open, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24.3% implied probability due to his executive experience, national profile from anti-Trump engagements, and term limit prompting an early jump into speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on strong progressive grassroots appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6.0% reflects his swing-state Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. Harris's drop to 4.5% stems from her recent loss eroding frontrunner status. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, major fundraising announcements, Biden-era endorsements, or shifts in hypothetical primary polling averages favoring governors over senators.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources. Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Following Kamala Harris's defeat in the 2024 presidential election, the Democratic 2028 nomination field remains wide open, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24.3% implied probability due to his executive experience, national profile from anti-Trump engagements, and term limit prompting an early jump into speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on strong progressive grassroots appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6.0% reflects his swing-state Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. Harris's drop to 4.5% stems from her recent loss eroding frontrunner status. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, major fundraising announcements, Biden-era endorsements, or shifts in hypothetical primary polling averages favoring governors over senators.

Following Kamala Harris's defeat in the 2024 presidential election, the Democratic 2028 nomination field remains wide open, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24.3% implied probability due to his executive experience, national profile from anti-Trump engagements, and term limit prompting an early jump into speculation. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8.3% on strong progressive grassroots appeal and media savvy, while Jon Ossoff's 6.0% reflects his swing-state Georgia Senate incumbency and youth. Harris's drop to 4.5% stems from her recent loss eroding frontrunner status. Consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, major fundraising announcements, Biden-era endorsements, or shifts in hypothetical primary polling averages favoring governors over senators.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" has generated $924.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" is "Gavin Newsom" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.