Bank of Canada decision in January?
$31,539 Vol.
No change 76%
25 bps decrease 21%
50+ bps decrease 3.3%
Increase 1.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$930 Vol.
3%
50+ bps decrease
$930 Vol.
3%
25 bps decrease
$819 Vol.
21%
25 bps decrease
$819 Vol.
21%
No change
$29,201 Vol.
76%
No change
$29,201 Vol.
76%
Increase
$589 Vol.
1%
Increase
$589 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's January 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its January 28, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its January 28, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Created At: Nov 7, 2025, 8:54 PM
Volume
$31,539End Date
Jan 28, 2026Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 8:54 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...$31,539 Vol.
Bank of Canada decision in January?
No change 76%
25 bps decrease 21%
50+ bps decrease 3.3%
Increase 1.4%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
50+ bps decrease
$930 Vol.
3%
25 bps decrease
$819 Vol.
21%
No change
$29,201 Vol.
76%
Increase
$589 Vol.
1%
About
Volume
$31,539End Date
Jan 28, 2026Created At
Nov 7, 2025, 8:54 PMResolver
0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.