Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 89.5%, driven by the absence of any scheduled summit despite a March 9 phone call where the leaders discussed Ukraine advances and a potential diplomatic end to U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities, with Putin sharing settlement proposals. U.S. considerations for easing Russian oil sanctions amid energy price surges have sparked bipartisan backlash, complicating high-level diplomacy. Ongoing Russian military operations in Ukraine and U.S. escalations in the Middle East erect significant barriers to an in-person venue like Gulf countries or Turkey, historically neutral sites, while no official announcements or envoy follow-ups signal near-term plans; late-breaking ceasefires or sanctions deals could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNo meeting by June 30 91.7%
Gulf country 1.8%
Turkey 1.4%
Russia 1.4%
$4,633,393 Vol.
$4,633,393 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
92%
Gulf country
2%
Turkey
1%
Russia
1%
China
1%
Other EU country
1%
United States
1%
Other
1%
Belarus
1%
Ukraine
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Japan
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Finland
<1%
No meeting by June 30 91.7%
Gulf country 1.8%
Turkey 1.4%
Russia 1.4%
$4,633,393 Vol.
$4,633,393 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
No meeting by June 30
$769,949 Vol.
92%
Gulf country
$252,298 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$339,489 Vol.
1%
Russia
$619,964 Vol.
1%
China
$268,788 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$914,078 Vol.
1%
United States
$185,587 Vol.
1%
Other
$386,871 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$248,508 Vol.
1%
Ukraine
$133,613 Vol.
<1%
Switzerland
$136,175 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$109,182 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$117,106 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$88,085 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$72,463 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 89.5%, driven by the absence of any scheduled summit despite a March 9 phone call where the leaders discussed Ukraine advances and a potential diplomatic end to U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities, with Putin sharing settlement proposals. U.S. considerations for easing Russian oil sanctions amid energy price surges have sparked bipartisan backlash, complicating high-level diplomacy. Ongoing Russian military operations in Ukraine and U.S. escalations in the Middle East erect significant barriers to an in-person venue like Gulf countries or Turkey, historically neutral sites, while no official announcements or envoy follow-ups signal near-term plans; late-breaking ceasefires or sanctions deals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$4,633,393End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 89.5%, driven by the absence of any scheduled summit despite a March 9 phone call where the leaders discussed Ukraine advances and a potential diplomatic end to U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities, with Putin sharing settlement proposals. U.S. considerations for easing Russian oil sanctions amid energy price surges have sparked bipartisan backlash, complicating high-level diplomacy. Ongoing Russian military operations in Ukraine and U.S. escalations in the Middle East erect significant barriers to an in-person venue like Gulf countries or Turkey, historically neutral sites, while no official announcements or envoy follow-ups signal near-term plans; late-breaking ceasefires or sanctions deals could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$4,633,393End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 30, 2025, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no Trump-Putin meeting by June 30 at 89.5%, driven by the absence of any scheduled summit despite a March 9 phone call where the leaders discussed Ukraine advances and a potential diplomatic end to U.S.-Israel-Iran hostilities, with Putin sharing settlement proposals. U.S. considerations for easing Russian oil sanctions amid energy price surges have sparked bipartisan backlash, complicating high-level diplomacy. Ongoing Russian military operations in Ukraine and U.S. escalations in the Middle East erect significant barriers to an in-person venue like Gulf countries or Turkey, historically neutral sites, while no official announcements or envoy follow-ups signal near-term plans; late-breaking ceasefires or sanctions deals could shift odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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