State Of Union predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$13M Vol.

$364K today

$2M Liq.

296

Ends in about 1 month

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13M Vol.

$364K today

$2M Liq.

296

Ends in about 1 month

European Union·Canada

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

$3.0K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

25%

December 31, 2027

$3.0K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Geopolitics·Maduro

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$97M Vol.

$191K today

$2M Liq.

451

Ends in 3 months

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97M Vol.

$191K today

$2M Liq.

451

Ends in 3 months

Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

$41M Vol.

$66.0K today

$7M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

95%

Xavier Becerra

$41M Vol.

$66.0K today

$7M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Russia

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$267K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$267K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$5M Vol.

$192K today

$695K Liq.

144

Ends in about 1 month

65%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$192K today

$695K Liq.

144

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$30M Vol.

$253K today

$499K Liq.

595

Ends in 3 months

64%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$253K today

$499K Liq.

595

Ends in 3 months

World

EU dissolves before 2027?

$181K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$181K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$8M Vol.

$396K today

$277K Liq.

239

Ends in 3 months

33%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$396K today

$277K Liq.

239

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$12M Vol.

$84.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

93%

Democratic Party

$12M Vol.

$84.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·International Affairs

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

$3.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

$3.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$63.0K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$63.0K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$31M Vol.

$135K today

$336K Liq.

293

Ends in 3 months

96%

September 30

$31M Vol.

$135K today

$336K Liq.

293

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$38.8K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$38.8K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Ohio Senate Election Winner

$665K Vol.

$177K today

$214K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

62%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$665K Vol.

$177K today

$214K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Global Elections

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$2M Vol.

$499K today

$66.1K Liq.

95%

340–354

$2M Vol.

$499K today

$66.1K Liq.

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$3M Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

127

Ends in 3 months

$3M Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

127

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Texas Senate Election Winner

$1M Vol.

$54.9K today

$280K Liq.

121

Ends in about 1 month

61%

James Talarico (D)

$1M Vol.

$54.9K today

$280K Liq.

121

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Houthis

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

$880K Vol.

$132K today

$103K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

76%

October 31

$880K Vol.

$132K today

$103K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Sports·Games

New Mexico United vs. Sacramento Republic FC - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

41%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like State Of Union.

Polymarket currently hosts 1036 active markets for State Of Union that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $252.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Venezuela leader end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 54% chance to Nicolás Maduro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on State Of Union predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for State Of Union shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “Venezuela leader end of 2026?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the State Of Union prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

State Of Union Predictions & Real-Time Odds | Polymarket

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the State Of Union prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

State Of Union predictions & odds

Elections·Global Elections

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$13M Vol.

$364K today

$2M Liq.

296

Ends in about 1 month

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13M Vol.

$364K today

$2M Liq.

296

Ends in about 1 month

European Union·Canada

Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

$3.0K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

25%

December 31, 2027

$3.0K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Geopolitics·Maduro

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$97M Vol.

$191K today

$2M Liq.

451

Ends in 3 months

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97M Vol.

$191K today

$2M Liq.

451

Ends in 3 months

Elections·US Election

California Governor Election Winner

$41M Vol.

$66.0K today

$7M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

95%

Xavier Becerra

$41M Vol.

$66.0K today

$7M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Russia

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$267K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$267K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

$5M Vol.

$192K today

$695K Liq.

144

Ends in about 1 month

65%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$192K today

$695K Liq.

144

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$30M Vol.

$253K today

$499K Liq.

595

Ends in 3 months

64%

December 31

$30M Vol.

$253K today

$499K Liq.

595

Ends in 3 months

World

EU dissolves before 2027?

$181K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$181K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·NATO

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

$8M Vol.

$396K today

$277K Liq.

239

Ends in 3 months

33%

December 31

$8M Vol.

$396K today

$277K Liq.

239

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$12M Vol.

$84.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

93%

Democratic Party

$12M Vol.

$84.6K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·International Affairs

Will Ukraine sign an EU accession treaty by December 31, 2027?

$3.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

$3.1K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Geopolitics·Iran

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

$6M Vol.

$63.0K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

85%

No Meeting by September 30

$6M Vol.

$63.0K today

$826K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

$31M Vol.

$135K today

$336K Liq.

293

Ends in 3 months

96%

September 30

$31M Vol.

$135K today

$336K Liq.

293

Ends in 3 months

Geopolitics·Ukraine

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$38.8K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

$38.8K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Ohio Senate Election Winner

$665K Vol.

$177K today

$214K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

62%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$665K Vol.

$177K today

$214K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Elections·Global Elections

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

$2M Vol.

$499K today

$66.1K Liq.

95%

340–354

$2M Vol.

$499K today

$66.1K Liq.

Geopolitics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$3M Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

127

Ends in 3 months

$3M Vol.

$21.9K Liq.

127

Ends in 3 months

Elections·Global Elections

Texas Senate Election Winner

$1M Vol.

$54.9K today

$280K Liq.

121

Ends in about 1 month

61%

James Talarico (D)

$1M Vol.

$54.9K today

$280K Liq.

121

Ends in about 1 month

Geopolitics·Houthis

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

$880K Vol.

$132K today

$103K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

76%

October 31

$880K Vol.

$132K today

$103K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Sports·Games

New Mexico United vs. Sacramento Republic FC - Halftime Result

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

41%

Yes

$0 Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

State Of Union predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of State Of Union prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do State Of Union markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top State Of Union prediction?

Why use Polymarket for State Of Union predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s State Of Union odds?

Can I track State Of Union predictions without trading?

How do I get started with State Of Union markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of State Of Union prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do State Of Union markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top State Of Union prediction?

Why use Polymarket for State Of Union predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s State Of Union odds?

Can I track State Of Union predictions without trading?

How do I get started with State Of Union markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

State Of Union predictions & odds