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Invade predictions & odds

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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

73

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

1%

$8M Vol.

$200K today

$154K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

31%

$29M Vol.

$193K today

$846K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

5%

$526K Vol.

$95.1K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

21%

$2M Vol.

$67.1K Liq.

55

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

17%

$593K Vol.

$86.7K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

7%

$1M Vol.

$77.0K Liq.

40

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

14%

$195K Vol.

$35.5K Liq.

Ends in about 1 year

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

2%

June 30, 2026

$4M Vol.

$51.5K Liq.

60

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

12%

$168K Vol.

$42.0K Liq.

10

Ends in 8 months

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

7%

$75.9K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

23%

$220K Vol.

$18.2K Liq.

16

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

11%

December 31

$14M Vol.

$31.4K Liq.

1,177

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

6%

$106K Vol.

$33.2K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

7%

$26.3K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

66%

GPT-6 released

$22M Vol.

$661K Liq.

852

Ends in 3 months

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Aurora Young Blood (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season

100%

Aurora Young Blood

$1.4K Vol.

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: MASONIC vs struggletony (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

struggletony

$5.6K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

Counter-Strike: STATE vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage

100%

Washed

$17.1K Vol.

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

Counter-Strike: ENCE vs BoyBand (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season

100%

BoyBand

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Invade.

Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for Invade that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $106.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 70% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Invade predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.