US x Iran ceasefire by...?

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

69%

December 31

$85M Vol.

$4M today

$2M Liq.

1,428

Who will Trump talk to in March?

Who will Trump talk to in March?

100%

Mohammed bin Salman

$5M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

98%

Mark Rutte

$52.3K Vol.

$150K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

37%

$83.3K Vol.

$9.8K Liq.

4

Ends in 3 months

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

19%

$106K Vol.

$14.5K Liq.

6

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by...?

39%

June 30

$435K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

7

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

7%

June 30

$286K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

7

Ends in 26 days

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

53%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$105K Vol.

$57.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

12%

$59.0K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

4

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

21%

December 31

$766K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

12

Ends in 9 months

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

23%

Leadership Change

$30.9K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

17%

$7.5K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

26%

$5.0K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

12%

$1M

$13.5K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

45

Ends in 9 months

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

40%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 9 months

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

5%

April 30

$575K Vol.

$20.1K Liq.

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

76%

$10.3K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store  by June 30?

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

7%

$213K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

62

Ends in 3 months

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

70%

$104K Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 9 months

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?

4%

$3.0K Vol.

$3.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 9 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Communication.

Polymarket currently hosts 140 active markets for Communication that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $94.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US x Iran ceasefire by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 69% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Communication predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.