Google 100.0%
Z.ai <1%
Mistral <1%
Alibaba <1%
$1,953,152 Vol.
$1,953,152 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

Yes

Z.ai
No

Mistral
No

Alibaba
No

Moonshot
No

OpenAI
No

DeepSeek
No

Anthropic
No

xAI
No
Google 100.0%
Z.ai <1%
Mistral <1%
Alibaba <1%
$1,953,152 Vol.
$1,953,152 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025

$336,067 Vol.
Yes

Z.ai
$158,063 Vol.
No

Mistral
$284,999 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$196,416 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$116,647 Vol.
No

OpenAI
$180,037 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$123,449 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$261,740 Vol.
No

xAI
$295,733 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the second best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Oct 10, 2025, 1:22 PM ET
Volume
$1,953,152End Date
Dec 31, 2025Market Opened
Oct 10, 2025, 1:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No



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