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xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

NEW
Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.

The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,230
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$5,230 Vol.

Polymarket

25%+

$289 Vol.

78%

30%+

$2,339 Vol.

56%

40%+

$2,517 Vol.

51%

50%+

$86 Vol.

22%

Beware of external links.