OpenAI's ChatGPT status page reports 99.84% uptime over the past month, with trader sentiment leaning against near-term outages following minor disruptions like a two-hour web blank-response issue on April 6 and VPN access problems on April 7. These pale against February 2026's multiple widespread incidents—peaking at over 28,000 Downdetector reports—tied to backend overload from explosive user growth and feature rollouts. Recent user migrations to Anthropic's Claude, spurred by backlash over OpenAI's Pentagon contract, may alleviate capacity strains. Key risks persist from AI scaling challenges during peak hours or unannounced model updates; monitor status.openai.com and Downdetector for elevated errors ahead of potential catalysts like developer conferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
Apr 10, 2026
April 10
29%
April 17
63%
$581 Vol.
April 10
$304 Vol.
29%
April 17
$277 Vol.
63%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT status page reports 99.84% uptime over the past month, with trader sentiment leaning against near-term outages following minor disruptions like a two-hour web blank-response issue on April 6 and VPN access problems on April 7. These pale against February 2026's multiple widespread incidents—peaking at over 28,000 Downdetector reports—tied to backend overload from explosive user growth and feature rollouts. Recent user migrations to Anthropic's Claude, spurred by backlash over OpenAI's Pentagon contract, may alleviate capacity strains. Key risks persist from AI scaling challenges during peak hours or unannounced model updates; monitor status.openai.com and Downdetector for elevated errors ahead of potential catalysts like developer conferences.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ET
Volume
$581End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's ChatGPT status page reports 99.84% uptime over the past month, with trader sentiment leaning against near-term outages following minor disruptions like a two-hour web blank-response issue on April 6 and VPN access problems on April 7. These pale against February 2026's multiple widespread incidents—peaking at over 28,000 Downdetector reports—tied to backend overload from explosive user growth and feature rollouts. Recent user migrations to Anthropic's Claude, spurred by backlash over OpenAI's Pentagon contract, may alleviate capacity strains. Key risks persist from AI scaling challenges during peak hours or unannounced model updates; monitor status.openai.com and Downdetector for elevated errors ahead of potential catalysts like developer conferences.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered. Incidents labeled as affecting 'APIs,' or 'Sora,' but not ChatGPT, will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.
Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to 'Partial/Full Outage' will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official system status information published by OpenAI on status.openai.com; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$581End Date
Apr 17, 2026Market Opened
Apr 7, 2026, 6:44 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's ChatGPT status page reports 99.84% uptime over the past month, with trader sentiment leaning against near-term outages following minor disruptions like a two-hour web blank-response issue on April 6 and VPN access problems on April 7. These pale against February 2026's multiple widespread incidents—peaking at over 28,000 Downdetector reports—tied to backend overload from explosive user growth and feature rollouts. Recent user migrations to Anthropic's Claude, spurred by backlash over OpenAI's Pentagon contract, may alleviate capacity strains. Key risks persist from AI scaling challenges during peak hours or unannounced model updates; monitor status.openai.com and Downdetector for elevated errors ahead of potential catalysts like developer conferences.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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