Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$853,619 Vol.
$853,619 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026

No

Z.ai
No

xAI
No

Anthropic
Yes

OpenAI
No

Moonshot
No

DeepSeek
No

Meituan
No

Alibaba
No

Mistral
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Z.ai <1%
xAI <1%
$853,619 Vol.
$853,619 Vol.
Feb 28, 2026

$163,985 Vol.
No

Z.ai
$81,842 Vol.
No

xAI
$94,955 Vol.
No

Anthropic
$129,415 Vol.
Yes

OpenAI
$96,288 Vol.
No

Moonshot
$45,781 Vol.
No

DeepSeek
$76,834 Vol.
No

Meituan
$50,812 Vol.
No

Alibaba
$63,626 Vol.
No

Mistral
$50,082 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.
If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Market Opened: Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Volume
$853,619End Date
Feb 28, 2026Market Opened
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No



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