Market icon

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 75.2%

Google 11.1%

OpenAI 6.3%

xAI 4.0%

Polymarket

$366,258 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market.

If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No")

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$366,258
End Date
Feb 28, 2026
Created At
Jan 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on February 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text set to default (style control on) will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the best arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g., if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Beware of external links.

Market icon

Which company has the #1 AI model end of February? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 75.2%

Google 11.1%

OpenAI 6.3%

xAI 4.0%

Polymarket

$366,258 Vol.

Market icon

Anthropic

$59,290 Vol.

75%

Market icon

Google

$72,682 Vol.

11%

Market icon

OpenAI

$40,902 Vol.

6%

Market icon

xAI

$31,997 Vol.

4%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$26,593 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$30,050 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$27,911 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Moonshot

$21,718 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Meituan

$27,845 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Mistral

$27,269 Vol.

<1%

Beware of external links.