Amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began February 28, trader consensus prices exactly 3 countries struck by Israel in March at 62%, reflecting extensive airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets—intensified March 26-29—alongside over 250 strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon and limited coalition actions against Iran-backed militias in Iraq. A March 20 strike on Syrian government sites adds to the tally but faces trader debate over routine operations qualifying. Yemen's Houthis launched their first missile at Israel March 28, intercepted without confirmed retaliation, sustaining ≥4 odds at 37% amid potential late-March escalation before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHow many different countries will Israel strike in March?
How many different countries will Israel strike in March?
$323,364 Vol.
$323,364 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3
63%
≥4
37%
$323,364 Vol.
$323,364 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
3
$93,175 Vol.
63%
≥4
$201,003 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began February 28, trader consensus prices exactly 3 countries struck by Israel in March at 62%, reflecting extensive airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets—intensified March 26-29—alongside over 250 strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon and limited coalition actions against Iran-backed militias in Iraq. A March 20 strike on Syrian government sites adds to the tally but faces trader debate over routine operations qualifying. Yemen's Houthis launched their first missile at Israel March 28, intercepted without confirmed retaliation, sustaining ≥4 odds at 37% amid potential late-March escalation before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Volume
$323,364End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began February 28, trader consensus prices exactly 3 countries struck by Israel in March at 62%, reflecting extensive airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets—intensified March 26-29—alongside over 250 strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon and limited coalition actions against Iran-backed militias in Iraq. A March 20 strike on Syrian government sites adds to the tally but faces trader debate over routine operations qualifying. Yemen's Houthis launched their first missile at Israel March 28, intercepted without confirmed retaliation, sustaining ≥4 odds at 37% amid potential late-March escalation before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total number of different sovereign UN member states' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between March 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country where the embassy or consulate is located, not towards the country they represent.
Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of market creation, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$323,364End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 26, 2026, 6:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Amid the US-Israel war on Iran that began February 28, trader consensus prices exactly 3 countries struck by Israel in March at 62%, reflecting extensive airstrikes on Iranian military, nuclear, and leadership targets—intensified March 26-29—alongside over 250 strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon and limited coalition actions against Iran-backed militias in Iraq. A March 20 strike on Syrian government sites adds to the tally but faces trader debate over routine operations qualifying. Yemen's Houthis launched their first missile at Israel March 28, intercepted without confirmed retaliation, sustaining ≥4 odds at 37% amid potential late-March escalation before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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