Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by Democrats' February passage of a new congressional map that would transform VA-06 from a safely Republican district into a competitive battleground, potentially flipping four seats statewide. This map awaits voter approval via a constitutional amendment referendum on the April 21 special election ballot, with early voting underway and recent reports of elevated turnout in GOP-leaning areas signaling opposition. A March poll showed former Rep. Tom Perriello leading a crowded Democratic primary field including Beth Macy, Pete Barlow, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, against incumbent Republican Ben Cline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, with filing deadlines in late May; market odds reflect expectations of amendment passage and Democratic momentum in the redrawn district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$31,785 Vol.
$31,785 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
77%
共和党
23%
$31,785 Vol.
$31,785 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$19,641 Vol.
77%
共和党
$12,144 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by Democrats' February passage of a new congressional map that would transform VA-06 from a safely Republican district into a competitive battleground, potentially flipping four seats statewide. This map awaits voter approval via a constitutional amendment referendum on the April 21 special election ballot, with early voting underway and recent reports of elevated turnout in GOP-leaning areas signaling opposition. A March poll showed former Rep. Tom Perriello leading a crowded Democratic primary field including Beth Macy, Pete Barlow, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, against incumbent Republican Ben Cline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, with filing deadlines in late May; market odds reflect expectations of amendment passage and Democratic momentum in the redrawn district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$31,785終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by Democrats' February passage of a new congressional map that would transform VA-06 from a safely Republican district into a competitive battleground, potentially flipping four seats statewide. This map awaits voter approval via a constitutional amendment referendum on the April 21 special election ballot, with early voting underway and recent reports of elevated turnout in GOP-leaning areas signaling opposition. A March poll showed former Rep. Tom Perriello leading a crowded Democratic primary field including Beth Macy, Pete Barlow, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, against incumbent Republican Ben Cline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, with filing deadlines in late May; market odds reflect expectations of amendment passage and Democratic momentum in the redrawn district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,785終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Democratic Party at 76.5% to win Virginia's 6th Congressional District House seat, driven by Democrats' February passage of a new congressional map that would transform VA-06 from a safely Republican district into a competitive battleground, potentially flipping four seats statewide. This map awaits voter approval via a constitutional amendment referendum on the April 21 special election ballot, with early voting underway and recent reports of elevated turnout in GOP-leaning areas signaling opposition. A March poll showed former Rep. Tom Perriello leading a crowded Democratic primary field including Beth Macy, Pete Barlow, Ken Mitchell, and Hugh Murray, against incumbent Republican Ben Cline. Primaries are scheduled for August 4, with filing deadlines in late May; market odds reflect expectations of amendment passage and Democratic momentum in the redrawn district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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