Kentucky's 6th congressional district carries a Republican-leaning partisan baseline, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and prior presidential margins, which positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Andy Barr pursued a Senate bid, prompting both parties to hold primaries on May 19 that produced Ralph Alvarado as the Republican standard-bearer and Zach Dembo for Democrats. Recent polling in head-to-head matchups has shown narrow gaps, yet the district's voting history and forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican sustain trader consensus around a two-thirds probability for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,879 Vol.
$23,879 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
58%
民主党
41%
$23,879 Vol.
$23,879 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,575 Vol.
58%
民主党
$14,816 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district carries a Republican-leaning partisan baseline, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and prior presidential margins, which positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Andy Barr pursued a Senate bid, prompting both parties to hold primaries on May 19 that produced Ralph Alvarado as the Republican standard-bearer and Zach Dembo for Democrats. Recent polling in head-to-head matchups has shown narrow gaps, yet the district's voting history and forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican sustain trader consensus around a two-thirds probability for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$23,879終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district carries a Republican-leaning partisan baseline, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and prior presidential margins, which positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Andy Barr pursued a Senate bid, prompting both parties to hold primaries on May 19 that produced Ralph Alvarado as the Republican standard-bearer and Zach Dembo for Democrats. Recent polling in head-to-head matchups has shown narrow gaps, yet the district's voting history and forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican sustain trader consensus around a two-thirds probability for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,879終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district carries a Republican-leaning partisan baseline, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and prior presidential margins, which positions the Republican nominee as the frontrunner in the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat opened after incumbent Andy Barr pursued a Senate bid, prompting both parties to hold primaries on May 19 that produced Ralph Alvarado as the Republican standard-bearer and Zach Dembo for Democrats. Recent polling in head-to-head matchups has shown narrow gaps, yet the district's voting history and forecaster ratings of Solid or Likely Republican sustain trader consensus around a two-thirds probability for the Republican Party. No major late developments have altered this positioning ahead of the general election campaign.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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