The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins. Republican primary voters selected former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado on May 19, while Democrats nominated Zach Dembo, setting up a November 3 general election matchup in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Recent polling shows competitive head-to-head results between the nominees, yet trader pricing aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,303 Vol.
$23,303 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
69%
民主党
28%
$23,303 Vol.
$23,303 Vol.
2026/11/03
共和党
$9,244 Vol.
69%
民主党
$14,060 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins. Republican primary voters selected former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado on May 19, while Democrats nominated Zach Dembo, setting up a November 3 general election matchup in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Recent polling shows competitive head-to-head results between the nominees, yet trader pricing aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$23,303終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins. Republican primary voters selected former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado on May 19, while Democrats nominated Zach Dembo, setting up a November 3 general election matchup in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Recent polling shows competitive head-to-head results between the nominees, yet trader pricing aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,303終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Kentucky's 6th congressional district, vacated by Republican Andy Barr's Senate bid, features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and a history of double-digit Republican presidential margins. Republican primary voters selected former state Sen. Ralph Alvarado on May 19, while Democrats nominated Zach Dembo, setting up a November 3 general election matchup in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report. Recent polling shows competitive head-to-head results between the nominees, yet trader pricing aligns with the district's structural Republican advantage and limited Democratic path to victory absent major shifts in turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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